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  Legal guardrails on states’ dependence on carbon dioxide removal to meet climate targets

Rajamani, L., White, E., Rogelj, J., Prütz, R., Wetzer, T., Wood, M., Stuart-Smith, R. F. (2026 online): Legal guardrails on states’ dependence on carbon dioxide removal to meet climate targets. - Climate Policy.
https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2025.2599861

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Legal guardrails on states dependence on carbon dioxide removal to meet climate targets.pdf (Publisher version), 912KB
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Legal guardrails on states dependence on carbon dioxide removal to meet climate targets.pdf
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 Creators:
Rajamani, Lavanya1, Author
White, Ewan1, Author
Rogelj, Joeri1, Author
Prütz, Ruben2, Author                 
Wetzer, Thom1, Author
Wood, Marianne1, Author
Stuart-Smith, Rupert F.1, Author
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, ou_persistent13              

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Free keywords: Paris agreement; carbon dioxide removal; harm prevention; due diligence; best available science; international law
 Abstract: This paper explores the international legal framework within which States’ reliance on carbon dioxide removal in climate targets and emission reduction pathways is set and identifies guardrails on the extent of such reliance. While carbon dioxide removal is a vital component of the response to climate change, significant risks arise when States rely upon promises of future removals as a substitute for near-term emissions reductions. This paper focuses on the obligation of ‘due diligence’ that attaches to States in relation to their actions that cause and address climate harms. It identifies a standard against which the diligence (or lack thereof) exercised by States can be objectively measured. This standard, discussed at length in the International Court of Justice’s Advisory Opinion on Climate Change, draws on several elements relevant to the governance of climate change, including precaution, scientific and technological information, and relevant rules and international standards, especially the normative pillars of the Paris Agreement. Although this standard applies to all actions and omissions by States in relation to climate harms, it assumes particular significance in relation to carbon dioxide removal, given the distinctive risks and uncertainties associated with it. We find that an application of this stringent standard of due diligence results first, in creating a pull towards a narrower range of global emission reduction pathways which minimize overshoot of the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C temperature goal, and second, in the emergence of indicative substantive and procedural guardrails which channel and constrain States’ reliance on carbon dioxide removal to meet their climate targets. These findings underscore the need for States to pursue deep emissions reductions alongside transparent, feasible, and coherent strategies for carbon dioxide removal.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2025-12-012026-02-03
 Publication Status: Published online
 Pages: 16
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2025.2599861
MDB-ID: No data to archive
PIKDOMAIN: RD5 - Climate Economics and Policy - MCC Berlin
Organisational keyword: RD5 - Climate Economics and Policy - MCC Berlin
Working Group: Sustainable Carbon Management
Research topic keyword: CO2 Removal
Research topic keyword: Inequality and Equity
Research topic keyword: Decarbonization
Research topic keyword: Sustainable Development
Regional keyword: Global
OATYPE: Hybrid Open Access
 Degree: -

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Title: Climate Policy
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: - Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/climate-policy
Publisher: Taylor & Francis