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  The heterogeneous effects of climate policy on households: Evidence from 88 countries

Missbach, L., Steckel, J. C. (2026): The heterogeneous effects of climate policy on households: Evidence from 88 countries. - Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 139, 103382.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2026.103382

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 ???ViewItemFull_lblCreators???:
Missbach, Leonard1, 2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???           
Steckel, Jan Christoph1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
???ViewItemFull_lblAffiliations???:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, ou_persistent13              
2Submitting Corresponding Author, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_29970              

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???ViewItemFull_lblSubject???: Climate policy, Distributional effects, Inequality, Transfers
 ???ViewItemFull_lblAbstract???: We analyze the distributional effects of climate policy by examining heterogeneity in households’ carbon intensity of consumption. We construct a novel dataset that includes information on the carbon intensity of 1.7 million individual households from 88 countries. First, we show that horizontal differences are generally larger than vertical differences. Then, we use supervised machine learning to analyze the non-linear contribution of household characteristics to the prediction of carbon intensity of consumption. Household income, proxied by total household expenditures, is usually an insufficient predictor for the additional costs of climate policy. Including household-level information beyond household income increases the accuracy of prediction. Our results highlight that, depending on the context, some compensation policies may be more effective in reducing overall heterogeneity than others.

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???ViewItemFull_lblLanguages???: eng - English
 ???ViewItemFull_lblDates???: 2025-11-122026-06-112026-06-172026-08-01
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 ???ViewItemFull_lblIdentifiers???: ???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_DOI???: 10.1016/j.jeem.2026.103382
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_PIKDOMAIN???: RD5 - Climate Economics and Policy - MCC Berlin
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???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_WORKINGGROUP???: Political Economy
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???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Climate Policy
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Inequality and Equity
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Carbon Pricing
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_MODELMETHOD???: Machine Learning
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???project_info_title??? : ELEVATE
???project_info_grant_id??? : 101056873
???project_info_funding_info_program_title??? : Horizon Europe (HE)
???project_info_funding_info_organization_title??? : European Commission (EC)

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???ViewItemFull_lblSourceTitle???: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
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