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Abstract:
Following a corresponding PICO session at the General Assembly of the European Geophysical Union 2024, we present in this Special Collection a number of papers that attempt responsible verified forecasts. The papers focus on approaches based on, or inspired by, concepts from complex systems sciences like scaling, universality, complex network analysis, and physics-informed machine learning. The forecasts target a diverse set of environmental, medical and climate phenomena that operate on a range of spatial and temporal scales.