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  Research brief: ensuring feasible CO2 geological storage projections in climate mitigation pathways

de Jonge-Anderson, I., Johnson, G., Merfort, A., Strefler, J., Harris, C., Roberts, J. (2026): Research brief: ensuring feasible CO2 geological storage projections in climate mitigation pathways, Glasgow : University of Strathclyde.
https://doi.org/10.17868/strath.00097051

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Item Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_35017 Version Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_35017_1
Genre: Report

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de-Jonge-Anderson-etal-Strathclyde-2026-ensuring-feasible-CO2-geological-storage-projections.pdf (Publisher version), 186KB
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de-Jonge-Anderson-etal-Strathclyde-2026-ensuring-feasible-CO2-geological-storage-projections.pdf
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 Creators:
de Jonge-Anderson, Iain1, Author
Johnson, Gareth1, Author
Merfort, Anne2, Author                 
Strefler, Jessica2, Author           
Harris, Catrin1, Author
Roberts, Jen1, Author
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) play a central role in climate policy by producing the climate change mitigation pathways used by governments and the IPCC. Many pathways that limit warming to 1.5°C or 2°C depend on significant expansion of CO2 geological storage often reaching around 15 GtCO2 per year by 2100. However, questions have arisen about the near to mid-term feasibility of these projected growth rates, particularly as global storage rates were only around 0.045 GtCO2 per year in 2023. We assessed how six major IAMs currently represent geological storage and examined whether recent improvements have strengthened the realism of projected deployment pathways. This research brief distils the key messages of the open access publication.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2026-08-192026-08-19
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: Glasgow : University of Strathclyde
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: -
 Identifiers: Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Working Group: Integrated Assessment Modelling
DOI: 10.17868/strath.00097051
MDB-ID: No data to archive
Research topic keyword: CO2 Removal
Research topic keyword: 1.5/2°C limit
OATYPE: Gold Open Access
 Degree: -

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