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http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2014/03/the-most-common-fallacy-in-discussing-extreme-weather-events/#more-17093 (Publisher version)
Rahmstorf, S. (2014): The most common fallacy in discussing extreme weather events + Update, (The most common fallacy in discussing extreme weather events + Update)(RealClimate Blog), Washington, DC : Science Communication Network.