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The underestimated potential of solar energy to mitigate climate change

Authors

Creutzig,  F.
External Organizations;

Agoston,  P.
External Organizations;

Goldschmidt,  J. C.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Gunnar.Luderer

Luderer,  Gunnar
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Nemet,  G.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Robert.Pietzcker

Pietzcker,  Robert C.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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Citation

Creutzig, F., Agoston, P., Goldschmidt, J. C., Luderer, G., Nemet, G., Pietzcker, R. C. (2017): The underestimated potential of solar energy to mitigate climate change. - Nature Energy, 2, 17140.
https://doi.org/10.1038/nenergy.2017.140


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_21868
Abstract
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's fifth assessment report emphasizes the importance of bioenergy and carbon capture and storage for achieving climate goals, but it does not identify solar energy as a strategically important technology option. That is surprising given the strong growth, large resource, and low environmental footprint of photovoltaics (PV). Here we explore how models have consistently underestimated PV deployment and identify the reasons for underlying bias in models. Our analysis reveals that rapid technological learning and technology-specific policy support were crucial to PV deployment in the past, but that future success will depend on adequate financing instruments and the management of system integration. We propose that with coordinated advances in multiple components of the energy system, PV could supply 30–50% of electricity in competitive markets.