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Developing multiscale and integrative nature-people scenarios using the Nature Futures Framework

Authors

Pereira,  Laura M.
External Organizations;

Davies,  Kathryn K.
External Organizations;

den Belder,  Eefje
External Organizations;

Ferrier,  Simon
External Organizations;

Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen,  Sylvia
External Organizations;

Kim,  HyeJin
External Organizations;

Kuiper,  Jan J.
External Organizations;

Okayasu,  Sana
External Organizations;

Palomo,  Maria G.
External Organizations;

Pereira,  Henrique M.
External Organizations;

Peterson,  Garry
External Organizations;

Sathyapalan,  Jyothis
External Organizations;

Schoolenberg,  Machteld
External Organizations;

Alkemade,  Rob
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Carvalho Ribeiro,  Sonia
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Greenaway,  Alison
External Organizations;

Hauck,  Jennifer
External Organizations;

King,  Nicholas
External Organizations;

Lazarova,  Tanya
External Organizations;

Ravera,  Federica
External Organizations;

Chettri,  Nakul
External Organizations;

Cheung,  William W. L.
External Organizations;

Hendriks,  Rob J. J.
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Kolomytsev,  Grigoriy
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Leadley,  Paul
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Metzger,  Jean-Paul
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Ninan,  Karachepone N.
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Pichs,  Ramon
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/persons/resource/Alexander.Popp

Popp,  Alexander
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Rondinini,  Carlo
External Organizations;

Rosa,  Isabel
External Organizations;

van Vuuren,  Detlef
External Organizations;

Lundquist,  Carolyn J.
External Organizations;

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Fulltext (public)

24386oa.pdf
(Publisher version), 4MB

Supplementary Material (public)
There is no public supplementary material available
Citation

Pereira, L. M., Davies, K. K., den Belder, E., Ferrier, S., Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen, S., Kim, H., Kuiper, J. J., Okayasu, S., Palomo, M. G., Pereira, H. M., Peterson, G., Sathyapalan, J., Schoolenberg, M., Alkemade, R., Carvalho Ribeiro, S., Greenaway, A., Hauck, J., King, N., Lazarova, T., Ravera, F., Chettri, N., Cheung, W. W. L., Hendriks, R. J. J., Kolomytsev, G., Leadley, P., Metzger, J.-P., Ninan, K. N., Pichs, R., Popp, A., Rondinini, C., Rosa, I., van Vuuren, D., Lundquist, C. J. (2020): Developing multiscale and integrative nature-people scenarios using the Nature Futures Framework. - People and Nature, 2, 4, 1172-1195.
https://doi.org/10.1002/pan3.10146


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_24386
Abstract
Scientists have repeatedly argued that transformative, multiscale global scenarios are needed as tools in the quest to halt the decline of biodiversity and achieve sustainability goals. As a first step towards achieving this, the researchers who participated in the scenarios and models expert group of the Intergovernmental Science‐Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) entered into an iterative, participatory process that led to the development of the Nature Futures Framework (NFF). The NFF is a heuristic tool that captures diverse, positive relationships of humans with nature in the form of a triangle. It can be used both as a boundary object for continuously opening up more plural perspectives in the creation of desirable nature scenarios and as an actionable framework for developing consistent nature scenarios across multiple scales. Here we describe the methods employed to develop the NFF and how it fits into a longer term process to create transformative, multiscale scenarios for nature. We argue that the contribution of the NFF is twofold: (a) its ability to hold a plurality of perspectives on what is desirable, which enables the development of joint goals and visions and recognizes the possible convergence and synergies of measures to achieve these visions and (b), its multiscale functionality for elaborating scenarios and models that can inform decision‐making at relevant levels, making it applicable across specific places and perspectives on nature. If humanity is to achieve its goal of a more sustainable and prosperous future rooted in a flourishing nature, it is critical to open up a space for more plural perspectives of human–nature relationships. As the global community sets out to develop new goals for biodiversity, the NFF can be used as a navigation tool helping to make diverse, desirable futures possible.