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Journal Article

Developing multi-scale and integrative nature-people scenarios using the Nature Futures Framework

Authors

Pereira,  L.
External Organizations;

Davies,  K. K.
External Organizations;

den Belder,  S.
External Organizations;

Ferrier,  S.
External Organizations;

Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen,  S.
External Organizations;

Kim,  H.
External Organizations;

Kuiper,  J. J.
External Organizations;

Okayasu,  S.
External Organizations;

Palomo,  M. G.
External Organizations;

Pereira,  H. M.
External Organizations;

Peterson,  G.
External Organizations;

Sathyapalan,  J.
External Organizations;

Schoolenberg,  M.
External Organizations;

Alkemade,  R.
External Organizations;

Carvalho Ribeiro,  S.
External Organizations;

Greenaway,  A.
External Organizations;

Hauck,  J.
External Organizations;

King,  N.
External Organizations;

Lazarova,  T.
External Organizations;

Ravera,  F.
External Organizations;

Chettri,  N.
External Organizations;

Cheung,  W. W. L.
External Organizations;

Hendriks,  R. J. J.
External Organizations;

Kolomytsev,  G.
External Organizations;

Leadley,  P.
External Organizations;

Metzger,  J.
External Organizations;

Ninan,  K. N.
External Organizations;

Pichs,  R.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Alexander.Popp

Popp,  Alexander
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Rondinini,  C.
External Organizations;

Rosa,  I.
External Organizations;

van Vuuren,  D.
External Organizations;

Lundquist,  C. J.
External Organizations;

External Resource

https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/ka69n/
(Preprint)

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Citation

Pereira, L., Davies, K. K., den Belder, S., Ferrier, S., Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen, S., Kim, H., Kuiper, J. J., Okayasu, S., Palomo, M. G., Pereira, H. M., Peterson, G., Sathyapalan, J., Schoolenberg, M., Alkemade, R., Carvalho Ribeiro, S., Greenaway, A., Hauck, J., King, N., Lazarova, T., Ravera, F., Chettri, N., Cheung, W. W. L., Hendriks, R. J. J., Kolomytsev, G., Leadley, P., Metzger, J., Ninan, K. N., Pichs, R., Popp, A., Rondinini, C., Rosa, I., van Vuuren, D., Lundquist, C. J. (in press): Developing multi-scale and integrative nature-people scenarios using the Nature Futures Framework. - People and Nature.


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_24386
Abstract
Scientists have repeatedly
argued that
transformative, mul
tiscale
global scenarios
are
needed
as tools
in the quest to halt the
decline of biodiversity and
achieve
sustainability
goals. As a first step towards achieving this,
the
expert
s who parti
cipated in the
s
cenarios
and
m
odels
expert group
of the Intergovernmental Science
-
Policy Platform on Biodiversity
and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) entered into an iterative, participatory process t
hat led to
the development of the Nature Futures Framework (N
FF)
. The NFF
is a heuristic tool that
captures diverse, positive relationships of humans with nature in the form of a triangle. It
can be used both as a boundary object
for continuously
open
ing
up more plural
perspectives in the creation of
desirable
nature scenarios and as a
n actionable
framework
for developing consistent nature scenarios across multiple scales. Here, w
e describe the
methods employed to
develop
the NFF and how this
fits into
a l
onger
-
term process to
create transformative, multiscale s
cenarios for nature. We argue that the contribution of
the NFF is two
-
fold: a) its ability to hold a
plurality
of perspectives on what is
desirable
,
which enables the development of joint goals and visions and recognises the possible
convergence and synerg
ies of measures to achieve these and b), its
multi
-
scale
functionality for elaborating scenarios and models that can inform decision
-
making at
relevant levels, making it applicable across specific places and perspectives on nature. If
humanity is to achiev
e its goal of a more sustainable and prosperous future rooted in a
flourishing nature, it is critical to open up a space for more plural perspectives of human
-
nature
relationships. As the global community sets out to develop new goals for
biodiversity, the NFF can be used as a
navigation tool helping to make diverse, desirable futures are possible.