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Journal Article

Ten new insights in climate science 2021: a horizon scan

Authors
/persons/resource/Maria.Martin

Martin,  Maria A.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Alcaraz Sendra,  Olga
External Organizations;

Bastos,  Ana
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Nicolas.Bauer

Bauer,  Nicolas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Bertram

Bertram,  Christoph
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Blenckner,  Thorsten
External Organizations;

Bowen,  Kathryn
External Organizations;

Brando,  Paulo M.
External Organizations;

Brodie Rudolph,  Tanya
External Organizations;

Büchs,  Milena
External Organizations;

Bustamante,  Mercedes
External Organizations;

Chen,  Deliang
External Organizations;

Cleugh,  Helen
External Organizations;

Dasgupta,  Purnamita
External Organizations;

Denton,  Fatima
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Donges

Donges,  Jonathan Friedemann
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Donkor,  Felix Kwabena
External Organizations;

Duan,  Hongbo
External Organizations;

Duarte,  Carlos M.
External Organizations;

Ebi,  Kristie L.
External Organizations;

Edwards,  Clea M.
External Organizations;

Engel,  Anja
External Organizations;

Fisher,  Eleanor
External Organizations;

Fuss,  Sabine
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Gaertner

Gärtner,  Juliana
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Gettelman,  Andrew
External Organizations;

Girardin,  Cécile A.J.
External Organizations;

Golledge,  Nicholas R.
External Organizations;

Green,  Jessica F.
External Organizations;

Grose,  Michael R.
External Organizations;

Hashizume,  Masahiro
External Organizations;

Hebden,  Sophie
External Organizations;

Hepach,  Helmke
External Organizations;

Hirota,  Marina
External Organizations;

Hsu,  Huang-Hsiung
External Organizations;

Kojima,  Satoshi
External Organizations;

Lele,  Sharachchandra
External Organizations;

Lorek,  Sylvia
External Organizations;

Lotze,  Heike K.
External Organizations;

Matthews,  H. Damon
External Organizations;

McCauley,  Darren
External Organizations;

Mebratu,  Desta
External Organizations;

Mengis,  Nadine
External Organizations;

Nolan,  Rachael H.
External Organizations;

Pihl,  Erik
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Stefan.Rahmstorf

Rahmstorf,  Stefan
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Redman,  Aaron
External Organizations;

Reid,  Colleen E.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/johan.rockstrom

Rockström,  Johan
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Rogelj,  Joeri
External Organizations;

Saunois,  Marielle
External Organizations;

Sayer,  Lizzie
External Organizations;

Schlosser,  Peter
External Organizations;

Sioen,  Giles B.
External Organizations;

Spangenberg,  Joachim H.
External Organizations;

Stammer,  Detlef
External Organizations;

Sterner,  Thomas N.S.
External Organizations;

Stevens,  Nicola
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Kirsten.Thonicke

Thonicke,  Kirsten
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Tian,  Hanqin
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Ricarda.Winkelmann

Winkelmann,  Ricarda
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Woodcock,  James
External Organizations;

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Citation

Martin, M. A., Alcaraz Sendra, O., Bastos, A., Bauer, N., Bertram, C., Blenckner, T., Bowen, K., Brando, P. M., Brodie Rudolph, T., Büchs, M., Bustamante, M., Chen, D., Cleugh, H., Dasgupta, P., Denton, F., Donges, J. F., Donkor, F. K., Duan, H., Duarte, C. M., Ebi, K. L., Edwards, C. M., Engel, A., Fisher, E., Fuss, S., Gärtner, J., Gettelman, A., Girardin, C. A., Golledge, N. R., Green, J. F., Grose, M. R., Hashizume, M., Hebden, S., Hepach, H., Hirota, M., Hsu, H.-H., Kojima, S., Lele, S., Lorek, S., Lotze, H. K., Matthews, H. D., McCauley, D., Mebratu, D., Mengis, N., Nolan, R. H., Pihl, E., Rahmstorf, S., Redman, A., Reid, C. E., Rockström, J., Rogelj, J., Saunois, M., Sayer, L., Schlosser, P., Sioen, G. B., Spangenberg, J. H., Stammer, D., Sterner, T. N., Stevens, N., Thonicke, K., Tian, H., Winkelmann, R., Woodcock, J. (2021): Ten new insights in climate science 2021: a horizon scan. - Global Sustainability, 4, e25.
https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2021.25


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_26201
Abstract
We summarize some of the past year’s most important findings within climate change-related research. New research has improved our understanding about the remaining options to achieve the Paris Agreement goals, through overcoming political barriers to carbon pricing, taking into account non-CO2 factors, a well-designed implementation of demand-side and nature-based solutions, resilience building of ecosystems and the recognition that climate change mitigation costs can be justified by benefits to the health of humans and nature alone. We consider new insights about what to expect if we fail to include a new dimension of fire extremes and the prospect of cascading climate tipping elements. Technical summary. A synthesis is made of 10 topics within cli- mate research, where there have been significant advances since January 2020. The insights are based on input from an inter- national open call with broad disciplinary scope. Findings include: (1) the options to still keep global warming below 1.5 °C; (2) the impact of non-CO2 factors in global warming; (3) a new dimension of fire extremes forced by climate change; (4) the increasing pressure on interconnected climate tipping elements; (5) the dimensions of climate justice; (6) political chal- lenges impeding the effectiveness of carbon pricing; (7) demand- side solutions as vehicles of climate mitigation; (8) the potentials and caveats of nature-based solutions; (9) how building resili- ence of marine ecosystems is possible; and (10) that the costs of climate change mitigation policies can be more than justified by the benefits to the health of humans and nature. Social media summary. How do we limit global warming to 1.5 °C and why is it crucial? See highlights of latest climate science.