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Journal Article

Provisional COVID-19 infrastructure induces large, rapid increases in cycling


Kraus,  Sebastian
External Organizations;


Koch,  Nicolas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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Kraus, S., Koch, N. (2021): Provisional COVID-19 infrastructure induces large, rapid increases in cycling. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 118, 15, e2024399118.

Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_26676
The bicycle is a low-cost means of transport linked to low risk of transmission of infectious disease. During the COVID-19 crisis, governments have therefore incentivized cycling by provisionally redistributing street space. We evaluate the impact of this new bicycle infrastructure on cycling traffic using a generalized difference in differences design. We scrape daily bicycle counts from 736 bicycle counters in 106 European cities. We combine these with data on announced and completed pop-up bike lane road work projects. Within 4 mo, an average of 11.5 km of provisional pop-up bike lanes have been built per city and the policy has increased cycling between 11 and 48% on average. We calculate that the new infrastructure will generate between $1 and $7 billion in health benefits per year if cycling habits are sticky.