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MSR through 2030: impact on market liquidity and considerations for the 2026 reform. Input material and takeaways from a workshop in Brussels

Authors
/persons/resource/Michael.Pahle

Pahle,  Michael
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/joanna.sitarz

Sitarz,  Joanna
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Sebastian.Osorio

Osorio,  Sebastian
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Görlach,  Benjamin
External Organizations;

Merschel,  Patricia
External Organizations;

Unstead,  Lewis
External Organizations;

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Citation

Pahle, M., Sitarz, J., Osorio, S., Görlach, B., Merschel, P., Unstead, L. (2023): MSR through 2030: impact on market liquidity and considerations for the 2026 reform. Input material and takeaways from a workshop in Brussels, Potsdam : Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 68 p.


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_29214
Abstract
Workshop: goal and set-up This document presents the main takeaways and insights from a workshop organised by the Ariadne Project in Brussels on 6 December 2023. Following up on the workshop we conducted last year on the evolution of EU-ETS prices through 2030 and beyond, in this year’s event we wanted to take a closer look at the functioning of the Market Stability Reserve (MSR) - also with a view on its upcoming review in 2026. The focus of the modelbased discussion was the years until 2030, but we also considered effects post 2030 in the discussion if they impacted MSR behaviour in this decade. The workshop convened experts from six organisations that operate carbon market models – academic institutions as well as carbon market analysts