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Temperature-related neonatal deaths attributable to climate change in 29 low- and middle-income countries

Authors
/persons/resource/asya.dimitrova

Dimitrova,  Asya
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Dimitrova,  Anna
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/matthias.mengel

Mengel,  Matthias
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Gasparrini,  Antonio
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Lotze-Campen

Lotze-Campen,  Hermann
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/gabrysch

Gabrysch,  Sabine
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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Citation

Dimitrova, A., Dimitrova, A., Mengel, M., Gasparrini, A., Lotze-Campen, H., Gabrysch, S. (2024): Temperature-related neonatal deaths attributable to climate change in 29 low- and middle-income countries. - Nature Communications, 15, 5504.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49890-x


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_29944
Abstract
Exposure to high and low ambient temperatures increases the risk of neonatal mortality, but the contribution of climate change to temperature-related neonatal deaths is unknown. We use Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data (n = 40,073) from 29 low- and middle-income countries to estimate the temperature-related burden of neonatal deaths between 2001 and 2019 that is attributable to climate change. We find that across all countries, 4.3% of neonatal deaths were associated with non-optimal temperatures. Climate change was responsible for 32% (range: 19-79%) of heat-related neonatal deaths, while reducing the respective cold-related burden by 30% (range: 10-63%). Climate change has impacted temperature-related neonatal deaths in all study countries, with most pronounced climate-induced losses from increased heat and gains from decreased cold observed in countries in sub-Saharan Africa. Future increases in global mean temperatures are expected to exacerbate the heat-related burden, which calls for ambitious mitigation and adaptation measures to safeguard the health of newborns.