Impacts of land-use and land-cover changes on temperature-related mortality

Orlov, Anton; De Hertog, Steven J.; Havermann, Felix; Guo, Suqi; Manola, Iris; Lejeune, Quentin; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Thiery, Wim; Pongratz, Julia; Humpenöder, Florian; Popp, Alexander; Aunan, Kristin; Armstrong, Ben; Royé, Dominic; Cvijanovic, Ivana; Lavigne, Eric; Achilleos, Souzana; Bell , Michelle; Masselot, Pierre; Sera, Francesco; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria; Gasparrini, Antonio; Mistry, Malcolm N.

doi:10.1097/EE9.0000000000000337

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Impacts of land-use and land-cover changes on temperature-related mortality

Authors

Orlov, Anton
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De Hertog, Steven J.
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Havermann, Felix
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Guo, Suqi
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Manola, Iris
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Lejeune, Quentin
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Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich
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Thiery, Wim
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Pongratz, Julia
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/persons/resource/Florian.Humpenoeder

Humpenöder, Florian
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Alexander.Popp

Popp, Alexander
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Aunan, Kristin
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Armstrong, Ben
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Royé, Dominic
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Cvijanovic, Ivana
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Lavigne, Eric
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Achilleos, Souzana
External Organizations;

Bell , Michelle
External Organizations;

Masselot, Pierre
External Organizations;

Sera, Francesco
External Organizations;

Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria
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Gasparrini, Antonio
External Organizations;

Mistry, Malcolm N.
External Organizations;

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impacts_of_land_use_and_land_cover_changes_on.6.pdf
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Citation

Orlov, A., De Hertog, S. J., Havermann, F., Guo, S., Manola, I., Lejeune, Q., Schleussner, C.-F., Thiery, W., Pongratz, J., Humpenöder, F., Popp, A., Aunan, K., Armstrong, B., Royé, D., Cvijanovic, I., Lavigne, E., Achilleos, S., Bell, M., Masselot, P., Sera, F., Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M., Gasparrini, A., Mistry, M. N. (2024): Impacts of land-use and land-cover changes on temperature-related mortality. - Environmental Epidemiology, 8, 6, e337.
https://doi.org/10.1097/EE9.0000000000000337

Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_30633

Abstract

Climate change can substantially affect human morbidity and mortality. Empirical evidence suggests that climate change alone would decrease cold-related deaths and increase heat-related deaths. The total impact on temperature-related mortality is often unclear as it depends on the magnitude of warming and the temperature–mortality relationship, which is generally found to be U-shaped (convex) and region specific. Future global-scale projections of temperature-related mortality, which are typically based on regression models estimated using observed location-specific temperature–mortality data and projected using temperature simulated by global climate models, provide spatially heterogeneous results regarding the total climate-induced impact on mortality across regions.