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Journal Article

Validation of climate mitigation pathways

Authors
/persons/resource/Pascal.Weigmann

Weigmann,  Pascal       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;
Submitting Corresponding Author, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/ragel.mandaroux

Mandaroux,  Rahel       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Fabrice.Lecuyer

Lécuyer,  Fabrice
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/anne.merfort

Merfort,  Anne       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/tabea.dorndorf

Dorndorf,  Tabea
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Johanna.Hoppe

Hoppe,  Johanna
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/jarusch.muessel

Müßel,  Jarusch       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Robert.Pietzcker

Pietzcker,  Robert C.       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Oliver.Richters

Richters,  Oliver
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/lavinia.baumstark

Baumstark,  Lavinia       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Elmar.Kriegler

Kriegler,  Elmar
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Nicolas.Bauer

Bauer,  Nicolas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Benke

Benke,  Falk
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Chen.Gong

Gong,  Chen Chris       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Gunnar.Luderer

Luderer,  Gunnar       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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Abstract
Integrated assessment models (IAMs) are crucial for climate policymaking, offering climate mitigation scenarios and contributing to IPCC assessments. However, IAMs face criticism for lack of transparency and limited ability to represent recent technology diffusion and dynamics. We introduce the Potsdam Integrated Assessment Modeling validation tool, piamValidation, an open-source R package for validating IAM scenarios. The piamValidation tool enables systematic comparisons of variables from extensive IAM datasets against historical data and feasibility bounds or across scenarios and models. This functionality is particularly valuable for harmonizing scenarios across multiple IAMs. Moreover, the tool facilitates the systematic comparison of near-term technology dynamics with external observational data, including historical trends, near-term developments, and empirical findings. We apply the tool in two application cases. First, to scenarios from the Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) to demonstrate its general applicability, and second to the integrated assessment model REMIND for near-term technology trend validation, illustrating its potential to enhance the transparency and reliability of IAMs. We apply the tool in two application cases. First, to scenarios from the Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) to demonstrate its general applicability, and second to the integrated assessment model REMIND for near-term technology trend validation, illustrating its potential to enhance the transparency and reliability of IAMs.