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Journal Article

The land use-climate change-biodiversity nexus in the perceptions of European islands stakeholders

Authors

Moustakas,  Aristides
External Organizations;

Christoforidi,  Irene
External Organizations;

Zittis,  George
External Organizations;

Demirel,  Nazli
External Organizations;

Fois,  Mauro
External Organizations;

Zotos,  Savvas
External Organizations;

Gallou,  Eirini
External Organizations;

Stamatiadou,  Valentini
External Organizations;

Tzirkalli,  Elli
External Organizations;

Zoumides,  Christos
External Organizations;

Košić,  Kristina
External Organizations;

Christopoulou,  Aikaterini
External Organizations;

Dragin,  Aleksandra
External Organizations;

Łowicki,  Damian
External Organizations;

Gil,  Artur
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/bruna.almeida

Almeida,  Bruna
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Chrysos,  Panos
External Organizations;

Balzan,  Mario V.
External Organizations;

Mansoldo,  Mark D.C.
External Organizations;

Ólafsdóttir,  Rannveig
External Organizations;

Ayhan,  Cigdem Kaptan
External Organizations;

Atay,  Lutfi
External Organizations;

Tase,  Mirela
External Organizations;

Stojanović,  Vladimir
External Organizations;

Ladičorbić,  Maja Mijatov
External Organizations;

Díaz,  Juan Pedro
External Organizations;

Expósito,  Francisco Javier
External Organizations;

Quiroga,  Sonia
External Organizations;

Cano,  Miguel Ángel Casquet
External Organizations;

Wang,  Haoran
External Organizations;

Suárez,  Cristina
External Organizations;

Manolaki,  Paraskevi
External Organizations;

Vogiatzakis,  Ioannis N.
External Organizations;

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Fulltext (public)

33767oa.pdf
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Citation

Moustakas, A., Christoforidi, I., Zittis, G., Demirel, N., Fois, M., Zotos, S., Gallou, E., Stamatiadou, V., Tzirkalli, E., Zoumides, C., Košić, K., Christopoulou, A., Dragin, A., Łowicki, D., Gil, A., Almeida, B., Chrysos, P., Balzan, M. V., Mansoldo, M. D., Ólafsdóttir, R., Ayhan, C. K., Atay, L., Tase, M., Stojanović, V., Ladičorbić, M. M., Díaz, J. P., Expósito, F. J., Quiroga, S., Cano, M. Á. C., Wang, H., Suárez, C., Manolaki, P., Vogiatzakis, I. N. (2025 online): The land use-climate change-biodiversity nexus in the perceptions of European islands stakeholders. - Environmental Impact Assessment Review, 117, 108199.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108199


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_33767
Abstract
To promote climate adaptation and mitigation strategies, it is crucial to understand the perspectives and knowledge gaps of stakeholders involved in functions affected by or addressing land use and climate changes. A large number of stakeholders across 21 European islands were consulted regarding their views on climate change and land use change issues affecting ecosystem services on their island. Climate change characteristics perceptions included variables such as temperature, precipitation, humidity, extremes, and wind. Land use change characteristics perceptions included deforestation, coastal degradation, habitat protection, renewable energy facilities, wetlands and other variables. Other environmental and societal problem perceptions such as invasive species, water or energy scarcity, problems in infrastructures or austerity were also included. Climate and land use change impact perceptions were analysed with machine learning to quantify their importance on the perception outcome. For example if a stakeholder perceives that pollution, coastal degradation, deforestation, precipitation decrease, and increase of humidity are occurring on the island, and austerity is the biggest problem how likely is that the impact of climate change or land use change will be quantified by the stakeholder as negative, unclear, neutral, or positive? The predominant climatic change characteristic is related with temperature, and the predominant land use change characteristic with deforestation. Water-related problems are top priorities for stakeholders. Energy-related problems, such as energy deficiency but also wind and solar energy facilities problems, rank high as combined climate change and land use change risks. Stakeholders generally perceive climate change impacts on ecosystem services as negative, with natural habitat destruction and biodiversity loss identified as the top variables. Land use change impacts are also negative but also more complex to explain, with a higher number of explanatory variables associated with the impact outcome. Stakeholders have common perceptions regarding climate change and land use change impacts on the benefits of biodiversity despite the geographic disparity. Stakeholders differentiate between factors related to climate change impacts and land use change impacts. Water, energy, and renewable energy related issues pose serious concerns to island stakeholders and management measures are needed to address them.