English
 
Privacy Policy Disclaimer
  Advanced SearchBrowse

Item

ITEM ACTIONSEXPORT
Add to Basket
  Local TagsRelease HistoryDetailsSummary

Released
Journal Article

Climate change will increase forest disturbances in Europe throughout the 21st century

Authors

Grünig,  Marc
External Organizations;

Rammer,  Werner
External Organizations;

Senf,  Cornelius
External Organizations;

Albrich,  Katharina
External Organizations;

André,  Frédéric
External Organizations;

Augustynczik,  Andrey L. D.
External Organizations;

Baumann,  Martin
External Organizations;

Bohn,  Friedrich J.
External Organizations;

Bouwman,  Meike
External Organizations;

Bugmann,  Harald
External Organizations;

Collalti,  Alessio
External Organizations;

Cristal,  Irina
External Organizations;

Dalmonech,  Daniela
External Organizations;

De Coligny,  Francois
External Organizations;

Dobor,  Laura
External Organizations;

Dollinger,  Christina
External Organizations;

Espelta,  Josep Maria
External Organizations;

Forrester,  David I.
External Organizations;

Garcia-Gonzalo,  Jordi
External Organizations;

González-Olabarria,  José Ramón
External Organizations;

Hiltner,  Ulrike
External Organizations;

Hlásny,  Tomáš
External Organizations;

Honkaniemi,  Juha
External Organizations;

Huber,  Nica
External Organizations;

Jonard,  Mathieu
External Organizations;

Jönsson,  Anna Maria
External Organizations;

Kunstler,  Georges
External Organizations;

Lagergren,  Fredrik
External Organizations;

Lindner,  Marcus
External Organizations;

Mina,  Marco
External Organizations;

Moos,  Christine
External Organizations;

Morin,  Xavier
External Organizations;

Muys,  Bart
External Organizations;

Nabuurs,  Gert-Jan
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/mahnken

Nieberg,  Mats       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Patacca,  Marco
External Organizations;

Peltoniemi,  Mikko
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Reyer

Reyer,  Christopher P. O.       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Schelhaas,  Mart-Jan
External Organizations;

Storms,  Ilié
External Organizations;

Thom,  Dominik
External Organizations;

Toïgo,  Maude
External Organizations;

Seidl,  Rupert
External Organizations;

External Resource
No external resources are shared
Fulltext (restricted access)
There are currently no full texts shared for your IP range.
Fulltext (public)
There are no public fulltexts stored in PuRe
Supplementary Material (public)
There is no public supplementary material available
Citation

Grünig, M., Rammer, W., Senf, C., Albrich, K., André, F., Augustynczik, A. L. D., Baumann, M., Bohn, F. J., Bouwman, M., Bugmann, H., Collalti, A., Cristal, I., Dalmonech, D., De Coligny, F., Dobor, L., Dollinger, C., Espelta, J. M., Forrester, D. I., Garcia-Gonzalo, J., González-Olabarria, J. R., Hiltner, U., Hlásny, T., Honkaniemi, J., Huber, N., Jonard, M., Jönsson, A. M., Kunstler, G., Lagergren, F., Lindner, M., Mina, M., Moos, C., Morin, X., Muys, B., Nabuurs, G.-J., Nieberg, M., Patacca, M., Peltoniemi, M., Reyer, C. P. O., Schelhaas, M.-J., Storms, I., Thom, D., Toïgo, M., Seidl, R. (2026): Climate change will increase forest disturbances in Europe throughout the 21st century. - Science, 391, 6789, eadx6329.
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adx6329


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_34117
Abstract
Climate change has already increased the occurrence of wildfires, convective storms, and bark beetle outbreaks, all of which are major drivers of tree mortality in forests. However, the future trajectories of these disturbances are unknown, particularly because they can interact with one another. Grünig et al. projected changes in disturbance rates and tree mortality across Europe in the 21st century under three climate change scenarios. They predicted an increase in disturbance-induced mortality especially that due to wildfires. These changes will lead to a decline in old forests and an increase in young forests, particularly in the Mediterranean, with implications for carbon sequestration and biodiversity. —Bianca Lopez