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Journal Article

Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly

Authors

Foster,  Grant
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Stefan.Rahmstorf

Rahmstorf,  Stefan       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;
Submitting Corresponding Author, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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34119oa.pdf
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Citation

Foster, G., Rahmstorf, S. (2026): Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly. - Geophysical Research Letters, 53, 5, e2025GL118804.
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL118804


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_34119
Abstract
Recent record-hot years have caused discussion over whether global warming has accelerated. Previous analysis found acceleration (i.e., increase in warming rate) has not yet reached a 95% confidence level, given natural temperature variability. We remove the estimated influence of three main natural variability factors: El Niño, volcanism, and solar variation. The resulting adjusted and thus less “noisy” data show that there has been acceleration with over 98% confidence, with faster warming over the last 10+ years than during any previous decade.