English
 
Privacy Policy Disclaimer
  Advanced SearchBrowse

Item

ITEM ACTIONSEXPORT

Released

Journal Article

Epidemic transmission modelling on the birth-death evolving network with indirect contacts

Authors

Feng,  Minyu
External Organizations;

Li,  Yuhan
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Juergen.Kurths

Kurths,  Jürgen
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

External Resource
No external resources are shared
Fulltext (restricted access)
There are currently no full texts shared for your IP range.
Fulltext (public)
Supplementary Material (public)
There is no public supplementary material available
Citation

Feng, M., Li, Y., Kurths, J. (2026 online): Epidemic transmission modelling on the birth-death evolving network with indirect contacts. - Applied Mathematical Modelling, 158, 116905.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2026.116905


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_34653
Abstract
Epidemic modelling on complex networks has been studied intensively all the time. The majority of relative research assumes that the time scale of the underlying network evolution is much larger compared to the propagation dynamics on it, while the co-evolution of epidemics and networks needs exploring further. In this paper, we investigate how our recently proposed birth-death evolving network impacts the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) epidemic process. Our evolving network considers the increase and the heritable deletion of nodes, which enables to depicting individual behaviors during an epidemic, e.g., population migration and indirect contacts. To model the above processes, we construct a Markovian queueing network and perform analyses for the variation of population size of different epidemic states. In simulations, we reveal how the population migration and indirect contacts caused by our network dynamic properties influence the population sizes of each epidemic state, and find that newly-created indirect contacts facilitate epidemic transmission.