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Empirical insights into residual emissions in urban net-zero targets

Urheber*innen

Ulpiani,  Giulia
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Quirina.Rodriguez

Rodriguez Mendez,  Quirina
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Todeschi,  Valeria
External Organizations;

Hernandez Moral,  Gema
External Organizations;

Vetters,  Nadja
External Organizations;

Pittalis,  Marco
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Sabine.Fuss

Fuss,  Sabine       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Gevers Deynoot,  Christiaan
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Felix.Creutzig

Creutzig,  Felix       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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s41558-026-02691-0.pdf
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Zitation

Ulpiani, G., Rodriguez Mendez, Q., Todeschi, V., Hernandez Moral, G., Vetters, N., Pittalis, M., Fuss, S., Gevers Deynoot, C., Creutzig, F. (2026): Empirical insights into residual emissions in urban net-zero targets. - Nature Climate Change, 16, 1092-1101.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-026-02691-0


Zitierlink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_35085
Zusammenfassung
Cities increasingly pledge net-zero emissions targets, but the robustness
of their residual emissions strategies remains uncertain. We examine the
approaches of 103 European cities aiming at net zero by 2030. Total residual
emissions are 61.4 MtCO 2e originating mostly from buildings and transport,
with the median at 0.8 tCO 2e per capita, indicating a rapid decarbonization
process. All municipal strategies rely on temporary, land-based CO2
removal, then carbon credits (40%) and permanent CO2 removal (32%).
We develop the residual emissions strategy robustness index to assess
the robustness of compensation strategies, indicating that the current
maturity is medium-low with notable geographical disparities. Although
cities invest in options mapping and governance, little attention is paid to
land availability, the potential of the urban fabric to become a distributed
carbon sink, provisions against carbon reversals, monitoring, timing and
quantification (estimates cover only 18% of total residual emissions). We also
distil recommendations and best practices to address residual emissions.