Assessment of climate change and associated impact on selected sectors in Poland

Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W.; Piniewski, Mikolaj; Mezghani, A.; Okruszko, T.; Pińskwar, I.; Kardel, I.; Hov, Oe.; Szcześniak, M.; Szwed, M.; Benestad, R. E.; Marcinkowski, P.; Graczyk, D.; Dobler, A.; Førland, E. J.; O'Keefe, J.; Choryński, A.; Parding, K. M.; Haugen, J. E.

doi:10.1007/s11600-018-0220-4

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学術論文

Assessment of climate change and associated impact on selected sectors in Poland

Authors

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Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Piniewski.Mikolaj

Piniewski, Mikolaj
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Mezghani, A.
External Organizations;

Okruszko, T.
External Organizations;

Pińskwar, I.
External Organizations;

Kardel, I.
External Organizations;

Hov, Oe.
External Organizations;

Szcześniak, M.
External Organizations;

Szwed, M.
External Organizations;

Benestad, R. E.
External Organizations;

Marcinkowski, P.
External Organizations;

Graczyk, D.
External Organizations;

Dobler, A.
External Organizations;

Førland, E. J.
External Organizations;

O'Keefe, J.
External Organizations;

Choryński, A.
External Organizations;

Parding, K. M.
External Organizations;

Haugen, J. E.
External Organizations;

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引用

Kundzewicz, Z. W., Piniewski, M., Mezghani, A., Okruszko, T., Pińskwar, I., Kardel, I., Hov, O., Szcześniak, M., Szwed, M., Benestad, R. E., Marcinkowski, P., Graczyk, D., Dobler, A., Førland, E. J., O'Keefe, J., Choryński, A., Parding, K. M., & Haugen, J. E. (2018). Assessment of climate change and associated impact on selected sectors in Poland. Acta Geophysica, 66(6), 1509-1523. doi:10.1007/s11600-018-0220-4.

引用: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_23030

要旨

The present paper offers a brief assessment of climate change and associated impact in Poland, based on selected results of the Polish–Norwegian CHASE-PL project. Impacts are examined in selected sectors, such as water resources, natural hazard risk reduction, environment, agriculture and health. Results of change detection in long time series of observed climate and climate impact variables in Poland are presented. Also, projections of climate variability and change are provided for time horizons of 2021–2050 and 2071–2100 for two emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in comparison with control period, 1971–2000. Based on climate projections, examination of future impacts on sectors is also carried out. Selected uncertainty issues relevant to observations, understanding and projections are tackled as well.