Item

Abstract

This profile provides an overview of projected climate
parameters and related impacts on different sec-
tors in Pakistan until 2080 under different climate
change scenarios (called Representative Concentration
Pathways, RCPs). RCP2.6 represents the low-emissions
scenario, which aims to keep global warming likely be-
low 2 °C compared to pre-industrial temperatures, and
RCP6.0 represents a medium / high emissions scenario.
RCP6.0 was selected to follow a middle-of-the-road
pathway, while RCP2.6 was added as the best-case sce-
nario. We avoid to add the worst-case scenario RCP8.5,
as the energy behaviour leading to such emissions has
been deemed not realistic. Model projections do not
account for effects of future socioeconomic impacts.