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報告書

Climate Risk Profile for Pakistan

Authors
/persons/resource/Tomalka

Tomalka,  Julia
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/slange

Lange,  Stefan
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Stephanie.Gleixner

Gleixner,  Stephanie
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/sebastian.ostberg

Ostberg,  Sebastian
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Christoph.Gornott

Gornott,  Christoph
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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フルテキスト (公開)
付随資料 (公開)
引用

Tomalka, J., Lange, S., Gleixner, S., Ostberg, S., & Gornott, C.(2022). Climate Risk Profile for Pakistan. Potsdam: A joint publication by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ), the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH and the Ministry of Planning, Development and Special Initiatives of Pakistan.


引用: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_27216
要旨
This profile provides an overview of projected climate parameters and related impacts on different sec- tors in Pakistan until 2080 under different climate change scenarios (called Representative Concentration Pathways, RCPs). RCP2.6 represents the low-emissions scenario, which aims to keep global warming likely be- low 2 °C compared to pre-industrial temperatures, and RCP6.0 represents a medium / high emissions scenario. RCP6.0 was selected to follow a middle-of-the-road pathway, while RCP2.6 was added as the best-case sce- nario. We avoid to add the worst-case scenario RCP8.5, as the energy behaviour leading to such emissions has been deemed not realistic. Model projections do not account for effects of future socioeconomic impacts.