Spatio-temporal changes in the causal interactions among sustainable 
development goals in china

Chen, Min; Cao, Min; Zhang, Junze; Pradhan, Prajal; Guo, Huadong; Fu, Bojie; Li, Yue; Bai, Yuying; Chang, Lijiao; Chen, Yu; Sun, Zhongchang; Meadows, Michael; Xu, Zhenci; Zhu, Rui; Wu, Kai; Lü , Guonian

doi:10.1057/s41599-023-01952-z

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Spatio-temporal changes in the causal interactions among sustainable development goals in china

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Chen, Min
External Organizations;

Cao, Min
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Zhang, Junze
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/persons/resource/prajal.pradhan

Pradhan, Prajal
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Guo, Huadong
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Fu, Bojie
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Li, Yue
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Bai, Yuying
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Chang, Lijiao
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Chen, Yu
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Sun, Zhongchang
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Meadows, Michael
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Xu, Zhenci
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Zhu, Rui
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Wu, Kai
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Lü , Guonian
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28652oa.pdf
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Chen, M., Cao, M., Zhang, J., Pradhan, P., Guo, H., Fu, B., Li, Y., Bai, Y., Chang, L., Chen, Y., Sun, Z., Meadows, M., Xu, Z., Zhu, R., Wu, K., Lü, G. (2023): Spatio-temporal changes in the causal interactions among sustainable development goals in china. - Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 10, 450.
https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-023-01952-z

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Extensive efforts have been dedicated to deciphering the interactions associated with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, these developments are hampered by a lack of efficient strategies to avoid beneficial synergies being offset by harmful trade-offs. To fill these gaps, we used causal diagnosis and network analysis methods to construct 1302 directed networks of SDGs for 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2020. We observed a dramatic offsetting effect of SDG synergies and trade-offs in China from 2000 to 2020, with approximately 27% of trade-off indicator pairs turning into synergies and about 25% of the synergy indicator pairs turning into trade-offs. However, our findings suggested that prioritising the progress of high-frequency indicators in virtuous cycles could multiply the positive systemic effects of the SDGs. Moreover, controlling the transition from passive to active in the trade-off network of SDGs remains a challenge in advancing the SDGs holistically.