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Central Asia: Challenges and Opportunities by Way of the Middle Corridor

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/persons/resource/Stefanie.Wesch

Wesch,  Stefanie
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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Wesch, S. (2024): Central Asia: Challenges and Opportunities by Way of the Middle Corridor. - In: Lampalzer, H., Hainzl, G. (Eds.), Climate.Changes.Security: Navigating Climate Change and Security Challenges in the OSCE Region, (Schriftenreihe der Landesverteidigungsakademie ; 4 / 2024), Vienna : Republic of Austria / Federal Ministry of Defence, 2nd updated ed., 175-193.


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Climate impacts in Central Asia will be unevenly distributed, potentially leading to competition over scarce resources such as water and land. Yield gains are expected in parts of Kazakhstan, while Tajikistan may see decreases. Hydropower aspirations may be dampened due to recurring droughts. The Afghan Qosh Tepa canal project could decrease water availability in down-stream Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan but benefit Afghanistan, which may
exacerbate tensions within the region. Women have a crucial role in fostering
social cohesion through climate adaptation efforts but must be brought into formalized decision-making processes.