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Deep learning-based state prediction of the Lorenz system with control parameters

Authors

Wang,  Xiaolong
External Organizations;

Feng,  Jing
External Organizations;

Xu,  Yong
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Juergen.Kurths

Kurths,  Jürgen
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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Citation

Wang, X., Feng, J., Xu, Y., Kurths, J. (2024): Deep learning-based state prediction of the Lorenz system with control parameters. - Chaos, 34, 3, 033108.
https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0187866


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_30104
Abstract
Nonlinear dynamical systems with control parameters may not be well modeled by shallow neural networks. In this paper, the stable fixed-point solutions, periodic and chaotic solutions of the parameter-dependent Lorenz system are learned simultaneously via a very deep neural network. The proposed deep learning model consists of a large number of identical linear layers, which provide excellent nonlinear mapping capability. Residual connections are applied to ease the flow of information and a large training dataset is further utilized. Extensive numerical results show that the chaotic solutions can be accurately forecasted for several Lyapunov times and long-term predictions are achieved for periodic solutions. Additionally, the dynamical characteristics such as bifurcation diagrams and largest Lyapunov exponents can be well recovered from the learned solutions. Finally, the principal factors contributing to the high prediction accuracy are discussed.