Technology availability, sector policies and behavioral change are 
complementary strategies for achieving net-zero emissions

Strefler, Jessica; Merfort, Leon; Bauer, Nicolas; Stevanović, Miodrag; Tänzler, Dennis; Humpenöder, Florian; Klein, David; Luderer, Gunnar; Pehl, Michaja; Pietzcker, Robert C.; Popp, Alexander; Rodrigues, Renato; Rottoli, Marianna; Kriegler, Elmar

doi:10.1038/s41467-024-52424-0

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Technology availability, sector policies and behavioral change are complementary strategies for achieving net-zero emissions

Authors

/persons/resource/Jessica.Strefler

Strefler, Jessica
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/leon.merfort

Merfort, Leon
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Nicolas.Bauer

Bauer, Nicolas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/stevanovic

Stevanović, Miodrag
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Tänzler, Dennis
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Florian.Humpenoeder

Humpenöder, Florian
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/david.klein

Klein, David
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Gunnar.Luderer

Luderer, Gunnar
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/michaja.pehl

Pehl, Michaja
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Robert.Pietzcker

Pietzcker, Robert C.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Alexander.Popp

Popp, Alexander
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/renato.rodrigues

Rodrigues, Renato
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Rottoli

Rottoli, Marianna
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Elmar.Kriegler

Kriegler, Elmar
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

External Ressource

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10552787
(Supplementary material)

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s41467-024-52424-0.pdf
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Citation

Strefler, J., Merfort, L., Bauer, N., Stevanović, M., Tänzler, D., Humpenöder, F., Klein, D., Luderer, G., Pehl, M., Pietzcker, R. C., Popp, A., Rodrigues, R., Rottoli, M., Kriegler, E. (2024): Technology availability, sector policies and behavioral change are complementary strategies for achieving net-zero emissions. - Nature Communications, 15, 8440.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-52424-0

Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_30366

Abstract

In this study, we analyze the effects of technology availability, political coor- dination, and behavioral change on transformation pathways toward net-zero greenhouse gas emissions in the European Union by 2050. We implemented an iterative stakeholder dialogue to co-design the scenarios that were calculated using a global multi-regional energy-economy-land-climate model. We find that in scenarios without behavioral change and with restriction of technolo- gies, the target of greenhouse gas neutrality in the European Union cannot be reached. Already a target of 200 Mt CO2eq/yr requires CO2 prices above 100 €/tCO2 in 2030 across all sectors in all scenarios. The required CO2 price can increase to up to 450 €/tCO2 by 2030 if technologies are constrained, if no complementary regulatory measures are implemented, and if changes in consumer behavior towards a more sustainable lifestyle do not materialize