On the emission and distributional effects of a CO2eq-tax on agricultural 
goods—The case of Germany

Schaper, Julian; Franks, R. Maximilian; Koch, Nicolas; Plinke, Charlotte; Sureth, Michael

doi:10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102794

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学術論文

On the emission and distributional effects of a CO2eq-tax on agricultural goods—The case of Germany

Authors

/persons/resource/julian.schaper

Schaper, Julian
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;
Submitting Corresponding Author, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/franks

Franks, R. Maximilian
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/koch.nicolas

Koch, Nicolas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Charlotte.Plinke

Plinke, Charlotte
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Michael.Sureth

Sureth, Michael
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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1-s2.0-S0306919224002057-main.pdf
(出版社版), 2MB

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引用

Schaper, J., Franks, R. M., Koch, N., Plinke, C., & Sureth, M. (2025). On the emission and distributional effects of a CO2eq-tax on agricultural goods—The case of Germany. Food Policy, 130:. doi:10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102794.

引用: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_31706

要旨

We analyze how a potential CO2eq-tax on the most emission-intensive agricultural goods in Germany affects CO2eq-emissions and the income distribution.Based on data from the German survey of income and expenditure, we use a linear approximated Exact Affine Stone Index demand system to estimate own-price and cross-price elasticities for meat, dairy goods and eggs. These elasticities allow us to obtain demand changes and thus emission reductions following the introduction of a CO2eq-weighted carbon tax based on the social cost of carbon. We find that it can reduce annual agricultural emissions in Germany by more than 15.3 MtCO2eq or about 22.5%. The tax generates an annual revenue of more than 8.2 billion EUR. Since the carbon tax is regressive, we consider the distributional effects of a per capita lump-sum compensation scheme. We show that this “fee and dividend” approach has a slightly progressive effect on the distribution of income.