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Antarctic meltwater-stratification feedback is less pronounced under high climate forcing

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/persons/resource/kreuzer

Kreuzer,  Moritz       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;
Submitting Corresponding Author, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Torsten.Albrecht

Albrecht,  Torsten       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Willem.Huiskamp

Huiskamp,  Willem Nicholas       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/petri

Petri,  Stefan       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/johannes.feldmann

Feldmann,  Johannes       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Georg.Feulner

Feulner,  Georg       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Ricarda.Winkelmann

Winkelmann,  Ricarda       
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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Zitation

Kreuzer, M., Albrecht, T., Huiskamp, W. N., Petri, S., Feldmann, J., Feulner, G., Winkelmann, R. (2026): Antarctic meltwater-stratification feedback is less pronounced under high climate forcing. - Geophysical Research Letters, 53, 8, e2025GL118643.
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL118643


Zitierlink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_34208
Zusammenfassung
Several studies have shown sub‐surface warming in the Southern Ocean via an increase in meltwater flux from the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS), which can lead to a positive feedback through enhanced basal melting. In this study, we investigate how the feedback strength is related to the prevailing climate in a coupled climate–ice‐sheet model. We find that sub‐surface temperature increase due to Antarctic meltwater is more pronounced under pre‐industrial climate compared to a strong global warming scenario. This is explained by a climate‐change induced reduction of vertical overturning in the Southern Ocean, which already leads to strong sub‐surface warming without additional meltwater. While in the pre‐industrial climate additional meltwater substantially reduces vertical mixing, the additional ice‐sheet mass flux into the ocean has less impact when the overturning is already suppressed by climate change. Sub‐surface warming due to meltwater flux increase thereby shows a saturation effect under climate warming.