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  Climatic risks and impacts in South Asia: extremes of water scarcity and excess

Vinke, K., Martin, M. A., Adams, S., Baarsch, F., Bondeau, A., Coumou, D., Donner, R. V., Menon, A., Perrette, M., Rehfeld, K., Robinson, A., Rocha, M., Schaeffer, M., Schwan, S., Serdeczny, O., Svirejeva-Hopkins, A. (2017): Climatic risks and impacts in South Asia: extremes of water scarcity and excess. - Regional Environmental Change, 17, 6, 1569-1583.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0924-9

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 Creators:
Vinke, Kira1, Author              
Martin, Maria A.1, Author              
Adams, S.2, Author
Baarsch, F.2, Author
Bondeau, A.2, Author
Coumou, Dim1, Author              
Donner, Reik V.1, Author              
Menon, A.2, Author
Perrette, Mahé1, Author              
Rehfeld, K.2, Author
Robinson, Alexander1, Author              
Rocha, M.2, Author
Schaeffer, M.2, Author
Schwan, S.2, Author
Serdeczny, O.2, Author
Svirejeva-Hopkins, Anastasia1, Author              
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Abstract: This paper reviews the current knowledge of climatic risks and impacts in South Asia associated with anthropogenic warming levels of 1.5–4 °C above pre-industrial values in the twenty-first century. It is based on the World Bank Report “Turn Down the Heat, Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts and the Case for Resilience” (2013b) . Many of the climate change impacts in the region, which appear quite severe even with relatively modest warming of 1.5–2 °C, pose significant hazards to development. For example, increased monsoon variability and loss or glacial meltwater will likely confront populations with ongoing and multiple challenges. The result is a significant risk to stable and reliable water resources for the region, with increases in peak flows potentially causing floods and dry season flow reductions threatening agriculture. Irrespective of the anticipated economic development and growth, climate projections indicate that large parts of South Asia’s growing population and especially the poor are likely to remain highly vulnerable to climate change.

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 Dates: 2017
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1007/s10113-015-0924-9
PIKDOMAIN: Director / Executive Staff / Science & Society
PIKDOMAIN: Earth System Analysis - Research Domain I
PIKDOMAIN: Transdisciplinary Concepts & Methods - Research Domain IV
eDoc: 7151
Research topic keyword: Security & Migration
Research topic keyword: Extremes
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
Research topic keyword: Health
Regional keyword: Asia
Organisational keyword: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
Organisational keyword: FutureLab - Social Metabolism and Impacts
Working Group: Earth System Modes of Operation
Working Group: Development of advanced time series analysis techniques
 Degree: -

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Title: Regional Environmental Change
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 17 (6) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 1569 - 1583 Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals425