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  Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change

Shiogama, H., Hasegawa, T., Fujimori, S., Murakami, D., Takahashi, K., Tanaka, K., Emori, S., Kubota, I., Abe, M., Imada, Y., Watanabe, M., Mitchell, D., Schaller, N., Sillmann, J., Fischer, E. M., Scinocca, J. F., Bethke, I., Lierhammer, L., Takakura, J., Trautmann, T., Döll, P., Ostberg, S., Müller Schmied, H., Saeed, F., Schleussner, C.-F. (2019): Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change. - Environmental Research Letters, 14, 12, 124022.
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab5256

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Shiogama, H.1, Autor
Hasegawa, T.1, Autor
Fujimori, S.1, Autor
Murakami, D.1, Autor
Takahashi, K.1, Autor
Tanaka, K.1, Autor
Emori, S.1, Autor
Kubota, I.1, Autor
Abe, M.1, Autor
Imada, Y.1, Autor
Watanabe, M.1, Autor
Mitchell, D.1, Autor
Schaller, N.1, Autor
Sillmann, J.1, Autor
Fischer, E. M.1, Autor
Scinocca, J. F.1, Autor
Bethke, I.1, Autor
Lierhammer, L.1, Autor
Takakura, J.1, Autor
Trautmann, T.1, Autor
Döll, P.1, AutorOstberg, Sebastian2, Autor              Müller Schmied, H.1, AutorSaeed, F.1, AutorSchleussner, Carl-Friedrich2, Autor               mehr..
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: Clarifying characteristics of hazards and risks of climate change at 2 °C and 1.5 °C global warming is important for understanding the implications of the Paris Agreement. We perform and analyze large ensembles of 2 °C and 1.5 °C warming simulations. In the 2 °C runs, we find substantial increases in extreme hot days, heavy rainfalls, high streamflow and labor capacity reduction related to heat stress. For example, about half of the world's population is projected to experience a present day 1-in-10 year hot day event every other year at 2 °C warming. The regions with relatively large increases of these four hazard indicators coincide with countries characterized by small CO2 emissions, low-income and high vulnerability. Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, compared to 2 °C, is projected to lower increases in the four hazard indicators especially in those regions.

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 Datum: 2019
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: -
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5256
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
eDoc: 8633
Research topic keyword: 1.5/2°C limit
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
Research topic keyword: Extremes
Research topic keyword: Freshwater
Research topic keyword: Inequality and Equity
Model / method: Model Intercomparison
Regional keyword: Global
Organisational keyword: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Working Group: Terrestrial Safe Operating Space
Working Group: Land Use and Resilience
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Environmental Research Letters
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 14 (12) Artikelnummer: 124022 Start- / Endseite: - Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/150326