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  Importance of glacier runoff for sustainable development of the Tarim River oases (Xinjiang, NW China)

Bolch, T., Duethmann, D., Wortmann, M., Disse, M. (2024): Importance of glacier runoff for sustainable development of the Tarim River oases (Xinjiang, NW China). - In: Schneiderbauer, S., Pisa, P. F., Shroder, J. F., Szarzynski, J. (Eds.), Safeguarding Mountain Social-Ecological Systems, Vol 2, Amsterdam : Elsevier, 225-231.
https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-443-32824-4.00044-4

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Item Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_31579 Version Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_31579_1
Genre: Book Chapter

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 Creators:
Bolch, Tobias1, Author
Duethmann, Doris1, Author
Wortmann, Michel2, Author              
Disse, Markus1, Author
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Life in the arid Tarim River basin, located in Xinjiang/NW China, depends on the water supply from the surrounding glacierized mountains. Ongoing climate change significantly impacts the cryosphere with potentially severe consequences for water availability. Runoff in the upper Aksu River, Tarim’s most important tributary, has been increasing over the last decades mainly due to the increased glacier meltwater contribution. Modeling using future climate scenarios indicates a glacier area loss of at least 50% by 2100 and that river discharge will first increase concomitantly with glacier shrinkage until about 2050 but probably decline thereafter. The irrigated area doubled in the Aksu catchment between the early 1990s and 2020 causing at least a doubling of the water demand. With the expected further growth in agriculture and the economy, the water demand is expected to even further increase, and hence, a significant water shortage can be expected in the future. Therefore improved projections of discharge and efficient and sustainable water consumption are needed for both further socioeconomic development and the preservation of natural ecosystems.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2024-06-282024-08-30
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 6
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-443-32824-4.00044-4
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Working Group: Hydroclimatic Risks
MDB-ID: No data to archive
Regional keyword: Asia
Research topic keyword: Freshwater
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
 Degree: -

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Title: Safeguarding Mountain Social-Ecological Systems, Vol 2
Source Genre: Book
 Creator(s):
Schneiderbauer, Stefan1, Editor
Pisa, Paola Fontanella1, Editor
Shroder, John F.1, Editor
Szarzynski, Joerg1, Editor
Affiliations:
1 External Organizations, ou_persistent22            
Publ. Info: Amsterdam : Elsevier
Pages: - Volume / Issue: - Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 225 - 231 Identifier: ISBN: 978-0-443-32824-4
DOI: 10.1016/C2023-0-50837-7