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  Understanding future emissions from low-carbon power systems by integration of life-cycle assessment and integrated energy modelling

Pehl, M., Arvesen, A., Humpenöder, F., Popp, A., Hertwich, E., Luderer, G. (2017): Understanding future emissions from low-carbon power systems by integration of life-cycle assessment and integrated energy modelling. - Nature Energy, 2, 12, 939-945.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-017-0032-9

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Pehl, Michaja1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Arvesen, A.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Humpenöder, Florian1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Popp, Alexander1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Hertwich, E.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Luderer, Gunnar1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???           
???ViewItemFull_lblAffiliations???:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 ???ViewItemFull_lblAbstract???: Both fossil-fuel and non-fossil-fuel power technologies induce life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions, mainly due to their embodied energy requirements for construction and operation, and upstream CH4 emissions. Here, we integrate prospective life-cycle assessment with global integrated energy–economy–land-use–climate modelling to explore life-cycle emissions of future low-carbon power supply systems and implications for technology choice. Future per-unit life-cycle emissions differ substantially across technologies. For a climate protection scenario, we project life-cycle emissions from fossil fuel carbon capture and sequestration plants of 78–110 gCO2eq kWh−1, compared with 3.5–12 gCO2eq kWh−1 for nuclear, wind and solar power for 2050. Life-cycle emissions from hydropower and bioenergy are substantial (∼100 gCO2eq kWh−1), but highly uncertain. We find that cumulative emissions attributable to upscaling low-carbon power other than hydropower are small compared with direct sectoral fossil fuel emissions and the total carbon budget. Fully considering life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions has only modest effects on the scale and structure of power production in cost-optimal mitigation scenarios.

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 ???ViewItemFull_lblDates???: 2017
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 ???ViewItemFull_lblIdentifiers???: ???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_DOI???: 10.1038/s41560-017-0032-9
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_PIKDOMAIN???: Sustainable Solutions - Research Domain III
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_EDOC???: 7744
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Decarbonization  
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Energy
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Mitigation
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_MODELMETHOD???: REMIND
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_REGIONALK???: Global
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_ORGANISATIONALK???: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_WORKINGGROUP???: Energy Systems
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_WORKINGGROUP???: Land-Use Management
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???ViewItemFull_lblSourceTitle???: Nature Energy
???ViewItemFull_lblSourceGenre???: ???ENUM_GENRE_JOURNAL???, SCI, Scopus
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???ViewItemFull_lblPages???: ???lbl_noEntry??? ???ViewItemFull_lblSourceVolumeIssue???: 2 (12) ???ViewItemFull_lblSourceSequenceNo???: ???lbl_noEntry??? ???ViewItemFull_lblSourceStartEndPage???: 939 - 945 ???ViewItemFull_lblSourceIdentifier???: ???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_CONE???: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/nature-energy