???ENUM_LANGUAGE_JA???
 
???mainMenu_lnkPrivacyPolicy??? ???mainMenu_lnkPolicy???

???ViewItemPage???

???ViewItemFull_lblItemActions??????List_lblExportOptions???
???ViewItemFull_lblAddToBasket???
 ???ViewItemFull_lblSubHeaderLocalTags??????ViewItemFull_btnItemVersions??????ViewItemFull_btnItemView??????ViewItemOverview_lblLinkOverviewPage???
  Global mean sea-level rise in a world agreed upon in Paris

Bittermann, K., Rahmstorf, S., Kopp, R. E., Kemp, A. C. (2017): Global mean sea-level rise in a world agreed upon in Paris. - Environmental Research Letters, 12, 12, 124010.
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa9def

Item is

 

???ViewItemFull_lblShowGroup??? ???ViewItemFull_lblAll??? ???ViewItemFull_lblHideGroup??? ???ViewItemFull_lblAll???

???ViewItemFull_lblBasic???

???ViewItemFull_lblShowGroup??? ???ViewItemFull_lblHideGroup???
???ViewItemFull_lblCiteItemAs???: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_22008 ???ViewItemFull_lblCiteItemVersionAs???: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_22008_6
???ViewItemFull_lblGenre???: ???ENUM_GENRE_ARTICLE???

???ViewItemMedium_lblSubHeaderFile???

???ViewItemFull_lblShowGroup??? ???ViewItemMedium_lblSubHeaderFile???
???ViewItemFull_lblHideGroup??? ???ViewItemMedium_lblSubHeaderFile???
:
22008oa.pdf (???ENUM_CONTENTCATEGORY_publisher-version???), 2???ViewItemMedium_lblFileSizeMB???
???ViewItemFull_lblViewFulltext???   ???save???
???ViewItemFull_lblCiteFileAs???:
https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_22008_2/component/file_24255/22008oa.pdf
???ViewItemMedium_lblFileName???:
22008oa.pdf
???ViewItemMedium_lblFileDescription???:
???lbl_noEntry???
???ViewItemMedium_lblFileOaSatus???:
???ViewItemMedium_lblFileVisibility???:
???ENUM_VISIBILITY_PUBLIC???
???ViewItemFull_lblFileMimeTypeSize???:
application/pdf / [MD5]
???ViewItemFull_lblTechnicalMetadata???:
???ViewItemFull_lblViewFulltext???
???ViewItem_lblCopyrightDate???:
???lbl_noEntry???
???ViewItem_lblCopyrightInfo???:
???lbl_noEntry???
???ViewItemFull_lblFileLicense???:
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

???ViewItemFull_lblSubHeaderLocators???

???ViewItemFull_lblShowGroup???

???ViewItemFull_lblCreators???

???ViewItemFull_lblShowGroup???
???ViewItemFull_lblHideGroup???
 ???ViewItemFull_lblCreators???:
Bittermann, Klaus1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???           
Rahmstorf, Stefan1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Kopp, R. E.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Kemp, A. C.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
???ViewItemFull_lblAffiliations???:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

???EditItem_lblContent???

???ViewItemFull_lblShowGroup???
???ViewItemFull_lblHideGroup???
???ViewItemFull_lblSubject???: ???lbl_noEntry???
 ???ViewItemFull_lblAbstract???: Although the 2015 Paris Agreement seeks to hold global average temperature to 'well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels', projections of global mean sea-level (GMSL) rise commonly focus on scenarios in which there is a high probability that warming exceeds 1.5 °C. Using a semi-empirical model, we project GMSL changes between now and 2150 CE under a suite of temperature scenarios that satisfy the Paris Agreement temperature targets. The projected magnitude and rate of GMSL rise varies among these low emissions scenarios. Stabilizing temperature at 1.5 °C instead of 2 °C above preindustrial reduces GMSL in 2150 CE by 17 cm (90% credible interval: 14–21 cm) and reduces peak rates of rise by 1.9 mm yr−1 (90% credible interval: 1.4–2.6 mm yr−1). Delaying the year of peak temperature has little long-term influence on GMSL, but does reduce the maximum rate of rise. Stabilizing at 2 °C in 2080 CE rather than 2030 CE reduces the peak rate by 2.7 mm yr−1 (90% credible interval: 2.0–4.0 mm yr−1).

???ViewItemFull_lblSubHeaderDetails???

???ViewItemFull_lblShowGroup???
???ViewItemFull_lblHideGroup???
???ViewItemFull_lblLanguages???:
 ???ViewItemFull_lblDates???: 2017
 ???ViewItemFull_lblPublicationStatus???: ???ViewItem_lblPublicationState_published-in-print???
 ???ViewItemFull_lblPages???: ???lbl_noEntry???
 ???ViewItemFull_lblPublishingInfo???: ???lbl_noEntry???
 ???ViewItemFull_lblTOC???: ???lbl_noEntry???
 ???ViewItemFull_lblRevisionMethod???: ???ENUM_REVIEWMETHOD_PEER???
 ???ViewItemFull_lblIdentifiers???: ???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_DOI???: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa9def
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_PIKDOMAIN???: Earth System Analysis - Research Domain I
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_EDOC???: 7828
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Sea-level Rise
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Oceans
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Mitigation
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: 1.5/2°C limit
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_ORGANISATIONALK???: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_WORKINGGROUP???: Earth System Model Development
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_WORKINGGROUP???: Earth System Modes of Operation
 ???ViewItemFull_lblDegreeType???: ???lbl_noEntry???

???ViewItemFull_lblSubHeaderEvent???

???ViewItemFull_lblShowGroup???

???ViewItemFull_lblSubHeaderLegalCase???

???ViewItemFull_lblShowGroup???

???g_project_info???

???ViewItemFull_lblShowGroup???

???ViewItemFull_lblSubHeaderSource??? 1

???ViewItemFull_lblShowGroup???
???ViewItemFull_lblHideGroup???
???ViewItemFull_lblSourceTitle???: Environmental Research Letters
???ViewItemFull_lblSourceGenre???: ???ENUM_GENRE_JOURNAL???, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
 ???ViewItemFull_lblSourceCreators???:
???ViewItemFull_lblSourceAffiliations???:
???ViewItemFull_lblSourcePubInfo???: ???lbl_noEntry???
???ViewItemFull_lblPages???: ???lbl_noEntry??? ???ViewItemFull_lblSourceVolumeIssue???: 12 (12) ???ViewItemFull_lblSourceSequenceNo???: 124010 ???ViewItemFull_lblSourceStartEndPage???: ???lbl_noEntry??? ???ViewItemFull_lblSourceIdentifier???: ???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_CONE???: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/150326