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  Coal and carbonization in sub-Saharan Africa

Steckel, J. C., Hilaire, J., Jakob, M., Edenhofer, O. (2020): Coal and carbonization in sub-Saharan Africa. - Nature Climate Change, 10, 1, 83-88.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0649-8

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Steckel, Jan Christoph1, Author              
Hilaire, Jérôme1, Author              
Jakob, M.2, Author
Edenhofer, Ottmar1, Author              
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1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Abstract: Economic development in sub-Saharan Africa has increased carbon emissions and will continue to do so. However, changes in emissions in the past few decades and their underlying drivers are not well understood. Here we use a Kaya decomposition to show that rising carbon intensity has played an increasingly important role in emission growth in sub-Saharan Africa since 2005. These changes have mainly been driven by the increasing use of oil, especially in the transportation sector. Combining investment data in the power sector with economic and population projections, we find that investments in new coal-fired capacity may become a major driver of future carbonization. Our results highlight the importance of making low-carbon technologies available and financially attractive to sub-Saharan African countries to avoid a lock-in of emission-intensive energy use patterns.

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 Dates: 2020
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0649-8
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: Director / Executive Staff / Science & Society
eDoc: 8662
Research topic keyword: Decarbonization  
Research topic keyword: Mitigation
Research topic keyword: Policy Advice
Model / method: Open Source Software
Regional keyword: Africa
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Organisational keyword: Director Edenhofer
Working Group: Energy Systems
 Degree: -

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Title: Nature Climate Change
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 10 (1) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 83 - 88 Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/140414
Publisher: Nature