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  Projecting exposure to extreme climate impact events across six event categories and three spatial scales

Lange, S., Volkholz, J., Geiger, T., Zhao, F., Vega, I., Veldkamp, T., Reyer, C. P. O., Warszawski, L., Huber, V., Jägermeyr, J., Schewe, J., Bresch, D. N., Büchner, M., Chang, J., Ciais, P., Dury, M., Emanuel, K., Folberth, C., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Henrot, A., Hickler, T., Honda, Y., Ito, A., Khabarov, N., Koutroulis, A., Liu, W., Müller, C., Nishina, K., Ostberg, S., Mueller Schmied, H., Seneviratne, S. I., Stacke, T., Steinkamp, J., Thiery, W., Wada, Y., Willner, S., Yang, H., Yoshikawa, M., Yue, C., Frieler, K. (2020): Projecting exposure to extreme climate impact events across six event categories and three spatial scales. - Earth's Future, 8, 12, e2020EF001616.
https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001616

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 ???ViewItemFull_lblCreators???:
Lange, Stefan1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???           
Volkholz, Jan1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Geiger, Tobias1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???           
Zhao, Fang2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Vega, Iliusi1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Veldkamp, Ted2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Reyer, Christopher P. O.1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Warszawski, Lila1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Huber, Veronika2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Jägermeyr, Jonas1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Schewe, Jacob1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Bresch, David N.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Büchner, Matthias1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Chang, Jinfeng2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Ciais, Philippe2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Dury, Mary2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Emanuel, Kerry2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Folberth, Christian2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Gerten, Dieter1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Gosling, Simon N.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Grillakis, Manolis2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Hanasaki, Naota2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Henrot, Alexandra‐Jane2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Hickler, Thomas2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Honda, Yasushi2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Ito, Akihiko2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Khabarov, Nikolay2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Koutroulis, Aristeidis2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Liu, Wenfeng2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Müller, Christoph1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 Nishina, Kazuya2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Ostberg, Sebastian1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 Mueller Schmied, Hannes2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Seneviratne, Sonia I.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Stacke, Tobias2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Steinkamp, Jörg2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Thiery, Wim2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Wada, Yoshihide2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Willner, Sven1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???           Yang, Hong2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Yoshikawa, Minoru2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Yue, Chao2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Frieler, Katja1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                  ???adv_search_btShowMore???
???ViewItemFull_lblAffiliations???:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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???ViewItemFull_lblSubject???: Wiley DEAL
 ???ViewItemFull_lblAbstract???: The extent and impact of climate‐related extreme events depend on the underlying meteorological, hydrological, or climatological drivers as well as on human factors such as land use or population density. Here we quantify the pure effect of historical and future climate change on the exposure of land and population to extreme climate impact events using an unprecedentedly large ensemble of harmonized climate impact simulations from the Inter‐Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project phase 2b. Our results indicate that global warming has already more than doubled both the global land area and the global population annually exposed to all six categories of extreme events considered: river floods, tropical cyclones, crop failure, wildfires, droughts, and heatwaves. Global warming of 2°C relative to preindustrial conditions is projected to lead to a more than fivefold increase in cross‐category aggregate exposure globally. Changes in exposure are unevenly distributed, with tropical and subtropical regions facing larger increases than higher latitudes. The largest increases in overall exposure are projected for the population of South Asia.

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 ???ViewItemFull_lblDates???: 2020-10-302020-11-262020-11-26
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 ???ViewItemFull_lblIdentifiers???: ???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_MDB_ID???: yes - 3052
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_PIKDOMAIN???: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_ORGANISATIONALK???: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_PIKDOMAIN???: RD2 - Climate Resilience
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_ORGANISATIONALK???: RD2 - Climate Resilience
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_PIKDOMAIN???: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_ORGANISATIONALK???: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Atmosphere
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Climate impacts
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Ecosystems
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Extremes
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Food & Agriculture
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_REGIONALK???: Global
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_MODELMETHOD???: LPJmL
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_MODELMETHOD???: Model Intercomparison
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_MODELMETHOD???: Nonlinear Data Analysis
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_DOI???: 10.1029/2020EF001616
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_WORKINGGROUP???: Terrestrial Safe Operating Space
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_WORKINGGROUP???: Forest and Ecosystem Resilience
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_WORKINGGROUP???: Land Use and Resilience
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_WORKINGGROUP???: Data-Centric Modeling of Cross-Sectoral Impacts
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_WORKINGGROUP???: Impacts of Climate Change on Human Population Dynamics
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_WORKINGGROUP???: Numerical analysis of global economic impacts
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_OATYPE???: Gold - DEAL Wiley
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???ViewItemFull_lblSourceTitle???: Earth's Future
???ViewItemFull_lblSourceGenre???: ???ENUM_GENRE_JOURNAL???, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_PUBLISHER???: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_PUBLISHER???: Wiley