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  Land use change and carbon emissions of a transformation to timber cities

Mishra, A., Humpenöder, F., Churkina, G., Reyer, C. P. O., Beier, F., Bodirsky, B. L., Schellnhuber, H. J., Lotze-Campen, H., Popp, A. (2022): Land use change and carbon emissions of a transformation to timber cities. - Nature Communications, 13, 4889.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32244-w

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Item Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_27505 Version Permalink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_27505_4
Genre: Journal Article

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https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6551229 (Supplementary material)
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 Creators:
Mishra, Abhijeet1, Author              
Humpenöder, Florian1, Author              
Churkina, Galina1, Author              
Reyer, Christopher P. O.1, Author              
Beier, Felicitas1, Author              
Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon1, Author              
Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim1, Author              
Lotze-Campen, Hermann1, Author              
Popp, Alexander1, Author              
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Using engineered wood for construction has been discussed for climate change mitigation. It remains unclear where and in which way the additional demand for wooden construction material shall be fulfilled. Here we assess the global and regional impacts of increased demand for engineered wood on land use and associated CO2 emissions until 2100 using an open-source land system model. We show that if 90% of the new urban population would be housed in newly built urban mid-rise buildings with wooden constructions, 106 Gt of additional CO2 could be saved by 2100. Forest plantations would need to expand by up to 149 Mha by 2100 and harvests from unprotected natural forests would increase. Our results indicate that expansion of timber plantations for wooden buildings is possible without major repercussions on agricultural production. Strong governance and careful planning are required to ensure a sustainable transition to timber cities even if frontier forests and biodiversity hotspots are protected.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2022-08-302022-08-30
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 12
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-32244-w
Organisational keyword: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: RD3 - Transformation Pathways
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Working Group: Land-Use Management
Working Group: Land Use and Resilience
Working Group: Forest and Ecosystem Resilience
Research topic keyword: Biodiversity
Research topic keyword: Cities
Research topic keyword: Decarbonization  
Research topic keyword: Food & Agriculture
Research topic keyword: Land use
Research topic keyword: Mitigation
Regional keyword: Global
Model / method: MAgPIE
Model / method: PIAM
Model / method: Quantitative Methods
MDB-ID: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see DOI)
OATYPE: Gold - DEAL Springer Nature
 Degree: -

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Title: Nature Communications
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 13 Sequence Number: 4889 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals354
Publisher: Nature