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  Teleconnections among tipping elements in the Earth system

Liu, T., Chen, D., Yang, L., Meng, J., Wang, Z., Ludescher, J., Fan, J., Yang, S., Chen, D., Kurths, J., Chen, X., Havlin, S., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2023): Teleconnections among tipping elements in the Earth system. - Nature Climate Change, 13, 1, 67-74.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01558-4

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Liu, Teng1, Autor
Chen, Dean1, Autor
Yang, Lan1, Autor
Meng, Jun2, Autor              
Wang, Zanchenling1, Autor
Ludescher, Josef2, Autor              
Fan, Jingfang2, Autor              
Yang, Saini1, Autor
Chen, Deliang1, Autor
Kurths, Jürgen2, Autor              
Chen, Xiaosong1, Autor
Havlin, Shlomo1, Autor
Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim2, Autor              
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Zusammenfassung: Tipping elements are components of the Earth system that may shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another at specific thresholds. It is not well understood to what degree tipping of one system can influence other regions or tipping elements. Here, we propose a climate network approach to analyse the global impacts of a prominent tipping element, the Amazon Rainforest Area (ARA). We find that the ARA exhibits strong correlations with regions such as the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and West Antarctic ice sheet. Models show that the identified teleconnection propagation path between the ARA and the TP is robust under climate change. In addition, we detect that TP snow cover extent has been losing stability since 2008. We further uncover that various climate extremes between the ARA and the TP are synchronized under climate change. Our framework highlights that tipping elements can be linked and also the potential predictability of cascading tipping dynamics.

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Sprache(n): eng - Englisch
 Datum: 2023-01-052023-01
 Publikationsstatus: Final veröffentlicht
 Seiten: 11
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: -
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01558-4
MDB-ID: pending
PIKDOMAIN: RD4 - Complexity Science
Organisational keyword: RD4 - Complexity Science
PIKDOMAIN: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
Organisational keyword: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
PIKDOMAIN: Director Emeritus / Executive Staff / Science & Society
Organisational keyword: Director Emeritus Schellnhuber
Research topic keyword: Complex Networks
Research topic keyword: Nonlinear Dynamics
Research topic keyword: Tipping Elements
Research topic keyword: Weather
Model / method: Nonlinear Data Analysis
OATYPE: Hybrid Open Access
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Nature Climate Change
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 13 (1) Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: 67 - 74 Identifikator: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/140414
Publisher: Springer Nature