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Teleconnections among tipping elements in the Earth system

Urheber*innen

Liu,  Teng
External Organizations;

Chen,  Dean
External Organizations;

Yang,  Lan
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/jun.meng

Meng,  Jun
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Wang,  Zanchenling
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Josef.Ludescher

Ludescher,  Josef
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Jingfang.Fan

Fan,  Jingfang
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Yang,  Saini
External Organizations;

Chen,  Deliang
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Juergen.Kurths

Kurths,  Jürgen
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Chen,  Xiaosong
External Organizations;

Havlin,  Shlomo
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/emdir

Schellnhuber,  Hans Joachim
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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Volltexte (frei zugänglich)

liu_2023_s41558-022-01558-4.pdf
(Verlagsversion), 8MB

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Zitation

Liu, T., Chen, D., Yang, L., Meng, J., Wang, Z., Ludescher, J., Fan, J., Yang, S., Chen, D., Kurths, J., Chen, X., Havlin, S., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2023): Teleconnections among tipping elements in the Earth system. - Nature Climate Change, 13, 1, 67-74.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01558-4


Zitierlink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_28312
Zusammenfassung
Tipping elements are components of the Earth system that may shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another at specific thresholds. It is not well understood to what degree tipping of one system can influence other regions or tipping elements. Here, we propose a climate network approach to analyse the global impacts of a prominent tipping element, the Amazon Rainforest Area (ARA). We find that the ARA exhibits strong correlations with regions such as the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and West Antarctic ice sheet. Models show that the identified teleconnection propagation path between the ARA and the TP is robust under climate change. In addition, we detect that TP snow cover extent has been losing stability since 2008. We further uncover that various climate extremes between the ARA and the TP are synchronized under climate change. Our framework highlights that tipping elements can be linked and also the potential predictability of cascading tipping dynamics.