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  Safe and just Earth system boundaries

Rockström, J., Gupta, J., Qin, D., Lade, S. J., Abrams, J. F., Andersen, L., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Bai, X., Bala, G., Bunn, S. E., Ciobanu, D., DeClerck, F., Ebi, K., Gifford, L., Gordon, C., Hasan, S., Kanie, N., Lenton, T. M., Loriani, S., Liverman, D. M., Mohamed, A., Nakicenovic, N., Obura, D., Ospina, D., Prodani, K., Rammelt, C., Sakschewski, B., Scholtens, J., Stewart-Koster, B., Tharammal, T., van Vuuren, D., Verburg, P. H., Winkelmann, R., Zimm, C., Bennett, E. M., Bringezu, S., Broadgate, W., Green, P. A., Huang, L., Jacobson, L., Ndehedehe, C., Pedde, S., Rocha, J., Scheffer, M., Schulte-Uebbing, L., de Vries, W., Xiao, C., Xu, C., Xu, X., Zafra-Calvo, N., Zhang, X. (2023): Safe and just Earth system boundaries. - Nature, 619, 102-111.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06083-8

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 ???ViewItemFull_lblCreators???:
Rockström, Johan1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Gupta, Joyeeta2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Qin, Dahe2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Lade, Steven J.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Abrams, Jesse F.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Andersen, Lauren1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Armstrong McKay, David I.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Bai, Xuemei2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Bala, Govindasamy2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Bunn, Stuart E.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Ciobanu, Daniel2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
DeClerck, Fabrice2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Ebi, Kristie2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Gifford, Lauren2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Gordon, Christopher2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Hasan, Syezlin2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Kanie, Norichika2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Lenton, Timothy M.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Loriani, Sina1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 
Liverman, Diana M.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???
Mohamed, Awaz2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Nakicenovic, Nebojsa2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Obura, David2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Ospina, Daniel2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Prodani, Klaudia2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Rammelt, Crelis2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Sakschewski, Boris1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 Scholtens, Joeri2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Stewart-Koster, Ben2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Tharammal, Thejna2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???van Vuuren, Detlef2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Verburg, Peter H.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Winkelmann, Ricarda1, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???                 Zimm, Caroline2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Bennett, Elena M.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Bringezu, Stefan2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Broadgate, Wendy2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Green, Pamela A.2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Huang, Lei2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Jacobson, Lisa2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Ndehedehe, Christopher2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Pedde, Simona2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Rocha, Juan2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Scheffer, Marten2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Schulte-Uebbing, Lena2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???de Vries, Wim2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Xiao, Cunde2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Xu, Chi2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Xu, Xinwu2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Zafra-Calvo, Noelia2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR???Zhang, Xin2, ???ENUM_CREATORROLE_AUTHOR??? ???adv_search_btShowMore???
???ViewItemFull_lblAffiliations???:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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???ViewItemFull_lblSubject???: planetary boundaries, Anthropocene, future, climate, safe and just, global commons
 ???ViewItemFull_lblAbstract???: The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably linked[1,2,3], yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they are often treated independently[4,5]. Here, we use modelling and literature assessment to quantify safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for climate, the biosphere, water and nutrient cycles, and aerosols at global and subglobal scales. We propose ESBs for maintaining the resilience and stability of the Earth system (safe ESBs) and minimizing exposure to significant harm to humans from Earth system change (a necessary but not sufficient condition for justice)[4]. The stricter of the safe or just boundaries sets the integrated safe and just ESB. Our findings show that justice considerations constrain the integrated ESBs more than safety considerations for climate and atmospheric aerosol loading. Seven of eight globally quantified safe and just ESBs and at least two regional safe and just ESBs in over half of global land area are already exceeded. We propose that our assessment provides a quantitative foundation for safeguarding the global commons for all people now and into the future.

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???ViewItemFull_lblLanguages???: eng - English
 ???ViewItemFull_lblDates???: 2022-06-232023-04-142023-05-312023-07-06
 ???ViewItemFull_lblPublicationStatus???: ???ViewItem_lblPublicationState_published-in-print???
 ???ViewItemFull_lblPages???: 10
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 ???ViewItemFull_lblTOC???: Abstract
Main
Quantifying ESBs
Toward a safe and just future
Methods
Data availability
Code availability
References
Acknowledgements
Funding
Author information
Ethics declarations
Peer review
Additional information
Extended data figures and tables
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 ???ViewItemFull_lblIdentifiers???: ???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_DOI???: 10.1038/s41586-023-06083-8
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_PIKDOMAIN???: Director / Executive Staff / Science & Society
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_PIKDOMAIN???: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_ORGANISATIONALK???: Director Rockström
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_ORGANISATIONALK???: RD1 - Earth System Analysis
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_REGIONALK???: Global
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Planetary Boundaries
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Global Commons
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Ecosystems
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Land use
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_RESEARCHTK???: Inequality and Equity
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_MDB_ID???: No MDB - stored outside PIK (see locators/paper)
???ENUM_IDENTIFIERTYPE_OATYPE???: Hybrid Open Access
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