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  The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance

Ebi, K. L., Haines, H., Andrade, R. F., Åström, C., Barreto, M. L., Bonell, A., Brink, N., Caminade, C., Carlson, C. J., Carter, R., Chua, P., Cissé, G., Colón-González, F. J., Dasgupta, S., Galvao, L. A., Garrido Zornoza, M., Gasparrini, A., Gordon-Strachan, G., Hajat, S., Harper, S., Harrington, L. J., Hashizume, M., Hess, J. J., Hilly, J., Ingole, V., Jacobson, L. V., Kapwata, T., Keeler, C., Kidd, S. A., Kimani-Murage, E. W., Kumar Kolli, R., Kovats, S., Li, S., Lowe, R., Mitchell, D., Murray, K., New, M., Ogunniyi, O. E., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., Pescarini, J., Pineda Restrepo, B., Pinho, S. T. R., Prescott, V., Redvers, N., Ryan, S. J., Santer, B., Schleussner, C.-F., Semenza, J. C., Taylor, M., Temple, L., Thiam, S., Thiery, W., Tompkins, A., Undorf, S., Vicedo-Cabrera, A., Wan, K., Warren, R., Webster, C., Woodward, A., Wright, C., Stuart-Smith, R. F. (in press): The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance. - Climatic Change.

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2025_05_undorf_Climatic Change.pdf (Preprint), 3MB
 
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 Creators:
Ebi, Kristie L.1, Author
Haines, Haines1, Author
Andrade, Roberto F.S1, Author
Åström, Christofer 1, Author
Barreto, Mauricio L. 1, Author
Bonell, Ana 1, Author
Brink, Nicholas 1, Author
Caminade, Cyril 1, Author
Carlson, Colin J.1, Author
Carter, Rachael 1, Author
Chua, Paul 1, Author
Cissé, Gueladio 1, Author
Colón-González, Felipe J. 1, Author
Dasgupta, Shouro 1, Author
Galvao, Luiz A.1, Author
Garrido Zornoza, Miguel 1, Author
Gasparrini, Antonio 1, Author
Gordon-Strachan, Georgiana 1, Author
Hajat, Shak1, Author
Harper, Sherilee 1, Author
Harrington, Luke J.1, AuthorHashizume, Masahiro 1, AuthorHess, Jeremy J 1, AuthorHilly, Jimmy 1, AuthorIngole, Vijendra 1, AuthorJacobson, Ludmilla V.1, AuthorKapwata, Thandi 1, AuthorKeeler, Coulter 1, AuthorKidd, Sean A.1, AuthorKimani-Murage, Elizabeth W.1, AuthorKumar Kolli, Rupa 1, AuthorKovats, Sari 1, AuthorLi, Sihan 1, AuthorLowe, Rachel 1, AuthorMitchell, Dann 1, AuthorMurray, Kris 1, AuthorNew, Mark 1, AuthorOgunniyi, Onyekachi Esther1, AuthorPerkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E. 1, AuthorPescarini, Julia 1, AuthorPineda Restrepo, Bertha 1, AuthorPinho, Suani T. R.1, AuthorPrescott, Vanessa 1, AuthorRedvers, Nicole 1, AuthorRyan, Sadie J1, AuthorSanter, Ben 1, AuthorSchleussner, Carl-Friedrich1, AuthorSemenza, Jan C. 1, AuthorTaylor, Michael 1, AuthorTemple, Lucy 1, AuthorThiam, Sokhna 1, AuthorThiery, Wim1, AuthorTompkins, Adrian 1, AuthorUndorf, Sabine2, Author           Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana 1, AuthorWan, Kai 1, AuthorWarren, Rachel1, AuthorWebster, Candice 1, AuthorWoodward, Alistair 1, AuthorWright, Caradee 1, AuthorStuart-Smith, Rupert F., Author more..
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: For over 30 years, detection and attribution (D&A) studies have informed key conclusions in international and national assessments of climate science, providing compelling evidence for the reality and seriousness of anthropogenic effects on the global climate. In the early 21st century, D&A methods were adapted to assess the contribution of climate change to longer-term trends in earth system processes and extreme weather events. More recently, attribution research quantified the health and economic impacts of climate change. Here we provide practical guidance to inform transdisciplinary collaboration among health, climate, and other relevant scientific disciplines and interested parties in designing, conducting, interpreting, and reporting robust and policy-relevant attribution analyses of human health outcomes. This guidance resulted from discussions among experts in health and climate science. Recommended steps include co-developing the research questions across disciplines; establishing a transdisciplinary analytic team with fundamental grounding in the core disciplines; engaging meaningfully with relevant interested parties and decision-makers to define an appropriate study design and analytic process, including defining the exposure event or trend; identifying, visualizing, and describing linkages in the causal pathway from exposure to weather/climate variables to the health outcome(s) of interest; choosing appropriate counterfactual climate data, and where applicable, to
evaluate the skill of the climate and health impact model(s) used in D&A research; quantifying the attributable changes in climate variables; quantifying the attributable health impacts within the context of other determinants of exposure and vulnerability; and reporting key results, including a description of how recommendations were incorporated into the analytical plan. Implementation of guidance would benefit diverse interested parties including researchers, research funders, policymakers, and climate litigation by harmonizing methods and increasing confidence in findings

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2025-05-092025-06-12
 Publication Status: Accepted / In Press
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: MDB-ID: No data to archive
Organisational keyword: RD2 - Climate Resilience
PIKDOMAIN: RD2 - Climate Resilience
Research topic keyword: Attribution
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
Research topic keyword: Extremes
Research topic keyword: Health
 Degree: -

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Title: Climatic Change
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: - Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals80
Publisher: Springer