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The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance

Urheber*innen

Ebi,  Kristie L.
External Organizations;

Haines,  Haines
External Organizations;

Andrade,  Roberto F.S
External Organizations;

Åström,  Christofer
External Organizations;

Barreto,  Mauricio L.
External Organizations;

Bonell,  Ana
External Organizations;

Brink,  Nicholas
External Organizations;

Caminade,  Cyril
External Organizations;

Carlson,  Colin J.
External Organizations;

Carter,  Rachael
External Organizations;

Chua,  Paul
External Organizations;

Cissé,  Gueladio
External Organizations;

Colón-González,  Felipe J.
External Organizations;

Dasgupta,  Shouro
External Organizations;

Galvao,  Luiz A.
External Organizations;

Garrido Zornoza,  Miguel
External Organizations;

Gasparrini,  Antonio
External Organizations;

Gordon-Strachan,  Georgiana
External Organizations;

Hajat,  Shak
External Organizations;

Harper,  Sherilee
External Organizations;

Harrington,  Luke J.
External Organizations;

Hashizume,  Masahiro
External Organizations;

Hess,  Jeremy J
External Organizations;

Hilly,  Jimmy
External Organizations;

Ingole,  Vijendra
External Organizations;

Jacobson,  Ludmilla V.
External Organizations;

Kapwata,  Thandi
External Organizations;

Keeler,  Coulter
External Organizations;

Kidd,  Sean A.
External Organizations;

Kimani-Murage,  Elizabeth W.
External Organizations;

Kumar Kolli,  Rupa
External Organizations;

Kovats,  Sari
External Organizations;

Li,  Sihan
External Organizations;

Lowe,  Rachel
External Organizations;

Mitchell,  Dann
External Organizations;

Murray,  Kris
External Organizations;

New,  Mark
External Organizations;

Ogunniyi,  Onyekachi Esther
External Organizations;

Perkins-Kirkpatrick,  Sarah E.
External Organizations;

Pescarini,  Julia
External Organizations;

Pineda Restrepo,  Bertha
External Organizations;

Pinho,  Suani T. R.
External Organizations;

Prescott,  Vanessa
External Organizations;

Redvers,  Nicole
External Organizations;

Ryan,  Sadie J
External Organizations;

Santer,  Ben
External Organizations;

Schleussner,  Carl-Friedrich
External Organizations;

Semenza,  Jan C.
External Organizations;

Taylor,  Michael
External Organizations;

Temple,  Lucy
External Organizations;

Thiam,  Sokhna
External Organizations;

Thiery,  Wim
External Organizations;

Tompkins,  Adrian
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/sabineu

Undorf,  Sabine
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Vicedo-Cabrera,  Ana
External Organizations;

Wan,  Kai
External Organizations;

Warren,  Rachel
External Organizations;

Webster,  Candice
External Organizations;

Woodward,  Alistair
External Organizations;

Wright,  Caradee
External Organizations;

Stuart-Smith,  Rupert F.

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Zitation

Ebi, K. L., Haines, H., Andrade, R. F., Åström, C., Barreto, M. L., Bonell, A., Brink, N., Caminade, C., Carlson, C. J., Carter, R., Chua, P., Cissé, G., Colón-González, F. J., Dasgupta, S., Galvao, L. A., Garrido Zornoza, M., Gasparrini, A., Gordon-Strachan, G., Hajat, S., Harper, S., Harrington, L. J., Hashizume, M., Hess, J. J., Hilly, J., Ingole, V., Jacobson, L. V., Kapwata, T., Keeler, C., Kidd, S. A., Kimani-Murage, E. W., Kumar Kolli, R., Kovats, S., Li, S., Lowe, R., Mitchell, D., Murray, K., New, M., Ogunniyi, O. E., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., Pescarini, J., Pineda Restrepo, B., Pinho, S. T. R., Prescott, V., Redvers, N., Ryan, S. J., Santer, B., Schleussner, C.-F., Semenza, J. C., Taylor, M., Temple, L., Thiam, S., Thiery, W., Tompkins, A., Undorf, S., Vicedo-Cabrera, A., Wan, K., Warren, R., Webster, C., Woodward, A., Wright, C., Stuart-Smith, R. F. (in press): The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance. - Climatic Change.


Zitierlink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_32464
Zusammenfassung
For over 30 years, detection and attribution (D&A) studies have informed key conclusions in international and national assessments of climate science, providing compelling evidence for the reality and seriousness of anthropogenic effects on the global climate. In the early 21st century, D&A methods were adapted to assess the contribution of climate change to longer-term trends in earth system processes and extreme weather events. More recently, attribution research quantified the health and economic impacts of climate change. Here we provide practical guidance to inform transdisciplinary collaboration among health, climate, and other relevant scientific disciplines and interested parties in designing, conducting, interpreting, and reporting robust and policy-relevant attribution analyses of human health outcomes. This guidance resulted from discussions among experts in health and climate science. Recommended steps include co-developing the research questions across disciplines; establishing a transdisciplinary analytic team with fundamental grounding in the core disciplines; engaging meaningfully with relevant interested parties and decision-makers to define an appropriate study design and analytic process, including defining the exposure event or trend; identifying, visualizing, and describing linkages in the causal pathway from exposure to weather/climate variables to the health outcome(s) of interest; choosing appropriate counterfactual climate data, and where applicable, to evaluate the skill of the climate and health impact model(s) used in D&A research; quantifying the attributable changes in climate variables; quantifying the attributable health impacts within the context of other determinants of exposure and vulnerability; and reporting key results, including a description of how recommendations were incorporated into the analytical plan. Implementation of guidance would benefit diverse interested parties including researchers, research funders, policymakers, and climate litigation by harmonizing methods and increasing confidence in findings