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  A Southern moisture pathway accelerates wetting of the Tibetan Plateau

Cai, F., Jiang, X. (2026): A Southern moisture pathway accelerates wetting of the Tibetan Plateau. - Environmental Research Letters, 21, 12, 124015.
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae798d

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Cai_2026_Environ._Res._Lett._21_124015.pdf (Publisher version), 3MB
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 Creators:
Cai, Fenying1, Author           
Jiang, Xingwen2, Author
Affiliations:
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              
2External Organizations, ou_persistent22              

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 Abstract: The Tibetan Plateau (TP), known as Asia’s water tower, has experienced a pronounced wetting trend in recent decades, often attributed to moisture transport anomalies through western and eastern boundaries caused by westerly anomalies. Here we show that this explanation is incomplete. Using a complex network analysis, we find that humid air advection from the Atlantic is largely blocked by concurrent drying over the Iranian Plateau, precluding a western moisture supply. Instead, the TP wetting trend arises from intensified moisture inflow from the southern boundary. We identify a previously unrecognized mid-latitude wave train, triggered by European blocking, that enhances tropical moisture transport across the southern boundary of the TP. Over recent decades, the strengthening of this wave train, together with increased wetting over South Asia driven by asymmetric tropical Pacific warming, jointly amplifies TP hydrological changes. Our results reveal a synergistic coupling between tropical forcing and mid-latitude dynamics, providing a new framework for understanding the accelerated wetting of Asia’s water tower.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2026-06-082026-06-172026-06-17
 Publication Status: Finally published
 Pages: 10
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ae798d
MDB-ID: No data to archive
PIKDOMAIN: RD4 - Complexity Science
Organisational keyword: RD4 - Complexity Science
Research topic keyword: Climate impacts
Research topic keyword: Complex Networks
Regional keyword: Asia
Model / method: Quantitative Methods
Working Group: Time Series Analysis
OATYPE: Gold Open Access
 Degree: -

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Title: Environmental Research Letters
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3, oa
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 21 (12) Sequence Number: 124015 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/150326
Publisher: IOP Publishing