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  Epidemic transmission modelling on the birth-death evolving network with indirect contacts

Feng, M., Li, Y., Kurths, J. (2026 online): Epidemic transmission modelling on the birth-death evolving network with indirect contacts. - Applied Mathematical Modelling, 158, 116905.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2026.116905

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Feng_2026_1-s2.0-S0307904X26001666-main.pdf (Publisher version), 14MB
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 Creators:
Feng, Minyu1, Author
Li, Yuhan1, Author
Kurths, Jürgen2, Author           
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, ou_persistent13              

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 Abstract: Epidemic modelling on complex networks has been studied intensively all the time. The majority of relative research assumes that the time scale of the underlying network evolution is much larger compared to the propagation dynamics on it, while the co-evolution of epidemics and networks needs exploring further. In this paper, we investigate how our recently proposed birth-death evolving network impacts the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) epidemic process. Our evolving network considers the increase and the heritable deletion of nodes, which enables to depicting individual behaviors during an epidemic, e.g., population migration and indirect contacts. To model the above processes, we construct a Markovian queueing network and perform analyses for the variation of population size of different epidemic states. In simulations, we reveal how the population migration and indirect contacts caused by our network dynamic properties influence the population sizes of each epidemic state, and find that newly-created indirect contacts facilitate epidemic transmission.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2026-03-29
 Publication Status: Published online
 Pages: 14
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1016/j.apm.2026.116905
MDB-ID: No data to archive
PIKDOMAIN: RD4 - Complexity Science
Organisational keyword: RD4 - Complexity Science
Research topic keyword: Complex Networks
Research topic keyword: Nonlinear Dynamics
Research topic keyword: Health
OATYPE: Hybrid Open Access
 Degree: -

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Title: Applied Mathematical Modelling
Source Genre: Journal, SCI, Scopus, p3
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 158 Sequence Number: 116905 Start / End Page: - Identifier: CoNE: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/cone/journals/resource/journals34
Publisher: Elsevier