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The impact of weather risk on tenure security - Evidence from smallholder farmers in Tanzania

Authors
/persons/resource/lisa.murken

Murken,  Lisa
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Mager,  Gregor
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Rahel.Laudien

Laudien,  Rahel
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/kati.kraehnert

Kraehnert,  Kati
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Christoph.Gornott

Gornott,  Christoph
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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29781oa.pdf
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Citation

Murken, L., Mager, G., Laudien, R., Kraehnert, K., Gornott, C. (2024 online): The impact of weather risk on tenure security - Evidence from smallholder farmers in Tanzania. - Land Economics.
https://doi.org/10.3368/le.100.4.101422-0079R1


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_29781
Abstract
We analyze if exposure to weather risk affects the tenure security of smallholder farmers in rural Tanzania. Drawing on a household panel survey with three waves and high-resolution weather data, our identification strategy exploits exogenous variation in precipitation across time and space. Results from household fixed effects estimations show that exposure to weather risk significantly lowers farmers’ perceived tenure security, while it increases land conflicts. Moreover, weather risk influences the likelihood that farmers acquire land certificates. These findings suggest that both land formalization and land dispute resolution mechanisms are needed to cushion the impacts of weather risk.