A food system transformation pathway reconciles 1.5° global warming with 
improved health, environment and social inclusion

Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon; Beier, Felicitas; Humpenöder, Florian; Leip, Debbora; Crawford, Michael; Chen, David Meng-Chuen; von Jeetze, Patrick José; Springmann, Marco; Sörgel, Björn; Nicholls, Zebede; Strefler, Jessica; Lewis, Jared; Heinke, Jens; Müller, Christoph; Karstens, Kristine; Weindl, Isabelle; Stevanović, Miodrag; Rein, Patrick; Sauer, Pascal; Mishra, Abhijeet; Molina Bacca, Edna J.; Köberle, Alexandre; Wang, Xiaoxi; Singh, Vartika; Hunecke, Claudia; Collignon, Quitterie; Schreinemachers, Pepijn; Dietz, Simon; Ravi, Kanbur; Dietrich, Jan Philipp; Lotze-Campen, Hermann; Popp, Alexander

doi:10.1038/s43016-025-01268-y

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A food system transformation pathway reconciles 1.5° global warming with improved health, environment and social inclusion

Urheber*innen

/persons/resource/Bodirsky

Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;
Submitting Corresponding Author, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/felicitas.beier

Beier, Felicitas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Florian.Humpenoeder

Humpenöder, Florian
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/debbora.leip

Leip, Debbora
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/michael.crawford

Crawford, Michael
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/david.chen

Chen, David Meng-Chuen
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/vjeetze

von Jeetze, Patrick José
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Springmann, Marco
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/bjoern.soergel

Sörgel, Björn
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Nicholls, Zebede
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Jessica.Strefler

Strefler, Jessica
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Lewis, Jared
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Jens.Heinke

Heinke, Jens
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Christoph.Mueller

Müller, Christoph
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Karstens

Karstens, Kristine
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Isabelle.Weindl

Weindl, Isabelle
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/stevanovic

Stevanović, Miodrag
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Patrick.Rein

Rein, Patrick
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Pascal.Sauer

Sauer, Pascal
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Abhijeet.Mishra

Mishra, Abhijeet
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/MolinaBacca

Molina Bacca, Edna J.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/alexandre.koberle

Köberle, Alexandre
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/xiaoxi.wang

Wang, Xiaoxi
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/vartika.singh

Singh, Vartika
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/claudia.hunecke

Hunecke, Claudia
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/collignon

Collignon, Quitterie
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Schreinemachers, Pepijn
External Organizations;

Dietz, Simon
External Organizations;

Ravi, Kanbur
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Jan.Dietrich

Dietrich, Jan Philipp
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Lotze-Campen

Lotze-Campen, Hermann
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Alexander.Popp

Popp, Alexander
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Externe Ressourcen

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17233328
(Forschungsdaten)

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s43016-025-01268-y.pdf
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Zitation

Bodirsky, B. L., Beier, F., Humpenöder, F., Leip, D., Crawford, M., Chen, D.-M.-C., von Jeetze, P. J., Springmann, M., Sörgel, B., Nicholls, Z., Strefler, J., Lewis, J., Heinke, J., Müller, C., Karstens, K., Weindl, I., Stevanović, M., Rein, P., Sauer, P., Mishra, A., Molina Bacca, E. J., Köberle, A., Wang, X., Singh, V., Hunecke, C., Collignon, Q., Schreinemachers, P., Dietz, S., Ravi, K., Dietrich, J. P., Lotze-Campen, H., Popp, A. (2025): A food system transformation pathway reconciles 1.5° global warming with improved health, environment and social inclusion. - Nature Food, 6, 1133-1152.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-025-01268-y

Zitierlink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_33579

Zusammenfassung

The improvement of the global food system requires thorough understanding of how specific measures may contribute to the system’s transformation. Here, we apply a global food and land system modeling framework to quantify the impact of 23 food system measures on 15 outcome indicators related to public health, the environment, social inclusion, and the economy, up to 2050. While all individual measures come with trade-offs, their combination can reduce trade-offs and enhance co-benefits. We estimate that combining all food system measures may reduce yearly mortality by 182 million life years and almost halves nitrogen surplus while offsetting negative effects of environmental protection measures on absolute poverty. In joint effort with measures outside the food system, the 1.5°C climate target can be achieved.