Producing policy-relevant science by enhancing robustness and model integration 
for the assessment of global environmental change

Warren, R. F.; Edwards, N. R.; Babonneau, F.; Bacon, P. M.; Dietrich, Jan Philipp; Ford, R. W.; Garthwaite, P.; Gerten, Dieter; Goswami, S.; Haurie, A.; Hiscock, K.; Holden, P. B.; Hyde, M. R.; Joshi, S. R.; Kanudia, A.; Labriet, M.; Leimbach, Marian; Oyebamiji, O. K.; Osborn, T.; Pizzileo, B.; Popp, Alexander; Price, J.; Riley, G. D.; Schaphoff, Sibyll; Slavin, P.; Vielle, M.; Wallace, C.

doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.05.010

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学術論文

Producing policy-relevant science by enhancing robustness and model integration for the assessment of global environmental change

Authors

Warren, R. F.
External Organizations;

Edwards, N. R.
External Organizations;

Babonneau, F.
External Organizations;

Bacon, P. M.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Jan.Dietrich

Dietrich, Jan Philipp
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Ford, R. W.
External Organizations;

Garthwaite, P.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Dieter.Gerten

Gerten, Dieter
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Goswami, S.
External Organizations;

Haurie, A.
External Organizations;

Hiscock, K.
External Organizations;

Holden, P. B.
External Organizations;

Hyde, M. R.
External Organizations;

Joshi, S. R.
External Organizations;

Kanudia, A.
External Organizations;

Labriet, M.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/marian.leimbach

Leimbach, Marian
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Oyebamiji, O. K.
External Organizations;

Osborn, T.
External Organizations;

Pizzileo, B.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Alexander.Popp

Popp, Alexander
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Price, J.
External Organizations;

Riley, G. D.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Sibyll.Schaphoff

Schaphoff, Sibyll
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Slavin, P.
External Organizations;

Vielle, M.
External Organizations;

Wallace, C.
External Organizations;

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8389.pdf
(出版社版), 8MB

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引用

Warren, R. F., Edwards, N. R., Babonneau, F., Bacon, P. M., Dietrich, J. P., Ford, R. W., Garthwaite, P., Gerten, D., Goswami, S., Haurie, A., Hiscock, K., Holden, P. B., Hyde, M. R., Joshi, S. R., Kanudia, A., Labriet, M., Leimbach, M., Oyebamiji, O. K., Osborn, T., Pizzileo, B., Popp, A., Price, J., Riley, G. D., Schaphoff, S., Slavin, P., Vielle, M., & Wallace, C. (2019). Producing policy-relevant science by enhancing robustness and model integration for the assessment of global environmental change. Environmental Modelling and Software, 111, 248-258. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.05.010.

引用: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_22967

要旨

We use the flexible model coupling technology known as the bespoke framework generator to link established existing modules representing dynamics in the global economy (GEMINI_E3), the energy system (TIAM-WORLD), the global and regional climate system (MAGICC6, PLASIM-ENTS and ClimGEN), the agricultural system, the hydrological system and ecosystems (LPJmL), together in a single integrated assessment modelling (IAM) framework, building on the pre-existing framework of the Community Integrated Assessment System. Next, we demonstrate the application of the framework to produce policy-relevant scientific information. We use it to show that when using carbon price mechanisms to induce a transition from a high-carbon to a low-carbon economy, prices can be minimised if policy action is taken early, if burden sharing regimes are used, and if agriculture is intensified. Some of the coupled models have been made available for use at a secure and user-friendly web portal.