Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios

Yalew, Seleshi G.; van Vliet, Michelle T. H.; Gernaat, David E. H. J.; Ludwig, Fulco; Miara, Ariel; Park, Chan; Byers, Edward; De Cian, Enrica; Piontek, Franziska; Iyer, Gokul; Mouratiadou, Ioanna; Glynn, James; Hejazi, Mohamad; Dessens, Olivier; Rochedo, Pedro; Pietzcker, Robert C.; Schaeffer, Roberto; Fujimori, Shinichiro; Dasgupta, Shouro; Mima, Silvana; da Silva, Silvia R. Santos; Chaturvedi, Vaibhav; Vautard, Robert; van Vuuren, Detlef P.

doi:10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z

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学術論文

Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios

Authors

Yalew, Seleshi G.
External Organizations;

van Vliet, Michelle T. H.
External Organizations;

Gernaat, David E. H. J.
External Organizations;

Ludwig, Fulco
External Organizations;

Miara, Ariel
External Organizations;

Park, Chan
External Organizations;

Byers, Edward
External Organizations;

De Cian, Enrica
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/franziska.piontek

Piontek, Franziska
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Iyer, Gokul
External Organizations;

Mouratiadou, Ioanna
External Organizations;

Glynn, James
External Organizations;

Hejazi, Mohamad
External Organizations;

Dessens, Olivier
External Organizations;

Rochedo, Pedro
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Robert.Pietzcker

Pietzcker, Robert C.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Schaeffer, Roberto
External Organizations;

Fujimori, Shinichiro
External Organizations;

Dasgupta, Shouro
External Organizations;

Mima, Silvana
External Organizations;

da Silva, Silvia R. Santos
External Organizations;

Chaturvedi, Vaibhav
External Organizations;

Vautard, Robert
External Organizations;

van Vuuren, Detlef P.
External Organizations;

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引用

Yalew, S. G., van Vliet, M. T. H., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., Ludwig, F., Miara, A., Park, C., Byers, E., De Cian, E., Piontek, F., Iyer, G., Mouratiadou, I., Glynn, J., Hejazi, M., Dessens, O., Rochedo, P., Pietzcker, R. C., Schaeffer, R., Fujimori, S., Dasgupta, S., Mima, S., da Silva, S. R. S., Chaturvedi, V., Vautard, R., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020). Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios. Nature Energy, 5(10), 794-802. doi:10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z.

引用: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_24371

要旨

Although our knowledge of climate change impacts on energy systems has increased substantially over the past few decades, there remains a lack of comprehensive overview of impacts across spatial scales. Here, we analyse results of 220 studies projecting climate impacts on energy systems globally and at the regional scale. Globally, a potential increase in cooling demand and decrease in heating demand can be anticipated, in contrast to slight decreases in hydropower and thermal energy capacity. Impacts at the regional scale are more mixed and relatively uncertain across regions, but strongest impacts are reported for South Asia and Latin America. Our assessment shows that climate impacts on energy systems at regional and global scales are uncertain due partly to the wide range of methods and non-harmonized datasets used. For a comprehensive assessment of climate impacts on energy, we propose a consistent multi-model assessment framework to support regional-to-global-scale energy planning.