Deutsch
 
Datenschutzhinweis Impressum
  DetailsucheBrowse

Datensatz

DATENSATZ AKTIONENEXPORT
Zur Ablage hinzufügen
  Lokale TagsFreigabegeschichteDetailsÜbersicht

Freigegeben
Zeitschriftenartikel

Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system

Urheber*innen

Brovkin,  V.
External Organizations;

Brook,  Edward
External Organizations;

Williams,  John W.
External Organizations;

Bathiany,  Sebastian
External Organizations;

Lenton,  Timothy M.
External Organizations;

Barton,  Michael
External Organizations;

DeConto,  Robert M.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Donges

Donges,  Jonathan Friedemann
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/andrey.ganopolski

Ganopolski,  Andrey
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

McManus,  Jerry
External Organizations;

Praetorius,  Summer
External Organizations;

de Vernal,  Anne
External Organizations;

Abe-Ouchi,  Ayako
External Organizations;

Cheng,  Hai
External Organizations;

Claussen,  Martin
External Organizations;

Crucifix,  Michel
External Organizations;

Gallopin,  Gilberto
External Organizations;

Iglesias,  Virginia
External Organizations;

Kaufman,  Darrell S.
External Organizations;

Kleinen,  Thomas
External Organizations;

Lambert,  Fabrice
External Organizations;

van der Leeuw,  Sander
External Organizations;

Liddy,  Hannah
External Organizations;

Loutre,  Marie-France
External Organizations;

McGee,  David
External Organizations;

Rehfeld,  Kira
External Organizations;

Rhodes,  Rachael
External Organizations;

Seddon,  Alistair W. R.
External Organizations;

Trauth,  Martin H.
External Organizations;

Vanderveken,  Lilian
External Organizations;

Yu,  Zicheng
External Organizations;

Externe Ressourcen
Es sind keine externen Ressourcen hinterlegt
Volltexte (frei zugänglich)

25738oa.pdf
(Postprint), 2MB

Ergänzendes Material (frei zugänglich)
Es sind keine frei zugänglichen Ergänzenden Materialien verfügbar
Zitation

Brovkin, V., Brook, E., Williams, J. W., Bathiany, S., Lenton, T. M., Barton, M., DeConto, R. M., Donges, J. F., Ganopolski, A., McManus, J., Praetorius, S., de Vernal, A., Abe-Ouchi, A., Cheng, H., Claussen, M., Crucifix, M., Gallopin, G., Iglesias, V., Kaufman, D. S., Kleinen, T., Lambert, F., van der Leeuw, S., Liddy, H., Loutre, M.-F., McGee, D., Rehfeld, K., Rhodes, R., Seddon, A. W. R., Trauth, M. H., Vanderveken, L., Yu, Z. (2021): Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system. - Nature Geoscience, 14, 8, 550-558.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00790-5


Zitierlink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25738
Zusammenfassung
The geological record shows that abrupt changes in the Earth system can occur on timescales short enough to challenge the capacity of human societies to adapt to environmental pressures. In many cases, abrupt changes arise from slow changes in one component of the Earth system that eventually pass a critical threshold, or tipping point, after which impacts cascade through coupled climate–ecological–social systems. The chance of detecting abrupt changes and tipping points increases with the length of observations. The geological record provides the only long-term information we have on the conditions and processes that can drive physical, ecological and social systems into new states or organizational structures that may be irreversible within human time frames. Here, we use well-documented abrupt changes of the past 30 kyr to illustrate how their impacts cascade through the Earth system. We review useful indicators of upcoming abrupt changes, or early warning signals, and provide a perspective on the contributions of palaeoclimate science to the understanding of abrupt changes in the Earth system.