日本語
 
Privacy Policy ポリシー/免責事項
  詳細検索ブラウズ

アイテム詳細

登録内容を編集ファイル形式で保存
一時保存へ追加
  タグ情報を表示リリース履歴を表示詳細要約

公開
学術論文

The influence of decision-making in tree ring-based climate reconstructions

Authors

Büntgen,  Ulf
External Organizations;

Allen,  Kathy
External Organizations;

Anchukaitis,  Kevin J.
External Organizations;

Arseneault,  Dominique
External Organizations;

Boucher,  Étienne
External Organizations;

Bräuning,  Achim
External Organizations;

Chatterjee,  Snigdhansu
External Organizations;

Cherubini,  Paolo
External Organizations;

Churakova,  Olga V.
External Organizations;

Corona,  Christophe
External Organizations;

Gennaretti,  Fabio
External Organizations;

Grießinger,  Jussi
External Organizations;

Guillet,  Sebastian
External Organizations;

Guiot,  Joel
External Organizations;

Gunnarson,  Björn
External Organizations;

Helama,  Samuli
External Organizations;

Hochreuther,  Philipp
External Organizations;

Hughes,  Malcolm K.
External Organizations;

Huybers,  Peter
External Organizations;

Kirdyanov,  Alexander V.
External Organizations;

Krusic,  Paul J.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Josef.Ludescher

Ludescher,  Josef
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Meier,  Wolfgang J.-H.
External Organizations;

Myglan,  Vladimir S.
External Organizations;

Nicolussi,  Kurt
External Organizations;

Oppenheimer,  Clive
External Organizations;

Reinig,  Frederick
External Organizations;

Salzer,  Matthew W.
External Organizations;

Seftigen,  Kristina
External Organizations;

Stine,  Alexander R.
External Organizations;

Stoffel,  Markus
External Organizations;

St. George,  Scott
External Organizations;

Tejedor,  Ernesto
External Organizations;

Trevino,  Aleyda
External Organizations;

Trouet,  Valerie
External Organizations;

Wang,  Jianglin
External Organizations;

Wilson,  Rob
External Organizations;

Yang,  Bao
External Organizations;

Xu,  Guobao
External Organizations;

Esper,  Jan
External Organizations;

URL
There are no locators available
フルテキスト (公開)

25745oa.pdf
(出版社版), 2MB

付随資料 (公開)
There is no public supplementary material available
引用

Büntgen, U., Allen, K., Anchukaitis, K. J., Arseneault, D., Boucher, É., Bräuning, A., Chatterjee, S., Cherubini, P., Churakova, O. V., Corona, C., Gennaretti, F., Grießinger, J., Guillet, S., Guiot, J., Gunnarson, B., Helama, S., Hochreuther, P., Hughes, M. K., Huybers, P., Kirdyanov, A. V., Krusic, P. J., Ludescher, J., Meier, W.-J.-H., Myglan, V. S., Nicolussi, K., Oppenheimer, C., Reinig, F., Salzer, M. W., Seftigen, K., Stine, A. R., Stoffel, M., St. George, S., Tejedor, E., Trevino, A., Trouet, V., Wang, J., Wilson, R., Yang, B., Xu, G., & Esper, J. (2021). The influence of decision-making in tree ring-based climate reconstructions. Nature Communications, 12:. doi:10.1038/s41467-021-23627-6.


引用: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25745
要旨
Tree-ring chronologies underpin the majority of annually-resolved reconstructions of Common Era climate. However, they are derived using different datasets and techniques, the ramifications of which have hitherto been little explored. Here, we report the results of a double-blind experiment that yielded 15 Northern Hemisphere summer temperature reconstructions from a common network of regional tree-ring width datasets. Taken together as an ensemble, the Common Era reconstruction mean correlates with instrumental temperatures from 1794–2016 CE at 0.79 (p < 0.001), reveals summer cooling in the years following large volcanic eruptions, and exhibits strong warming since the 1980s. Differing in their mean, variance, amplitude, sensitivity, and persistence, the ensemble members demonstrate the influence of subjectivity in the reconstruction process. We therefore recommend the routine use of ensemble reconstruction approaches to provide a more consensual picture of past climate variability.