English
 
Privacy Policy Disclaimer
  Advanced SearchBrowse

Item

ITEM ACTIONSEXPORT
Add to Basket
  Local TagsRelease HistoryDetailsSummary

Released
Journal Article

The influence of decision-making in tree ring-based climate reconstructions

Authors

Büntgen,  Ulf
External Organizations;

Allen,  Kathy
External Organizations;

Anchukaitis,  Kevin J.
External Organizations;

Arseneault,  Dominique
External Organizations;

Boucher,  Étienne
External Organizations;

Bräuning,  Achim
External Organizations;

Chatterjee,  Snigdhansu
External Organizations;

Cherubini,  Paolo
External Organizations;

Churakova,  Olga V.
External Organizations;

Corona,  Christophe
External Organizations;

Gennaretti,  Fabio
External Organizations;

Grießinger,  Jussi
External Organizations;

Guillet,  Sebastian
External Organizations;

Guiot,  Joel
External Organizations;

Gunnarson,  Björn
External Organizations;

Helama,  Samuli
External Organizations;

Hochreuther,  Philipp
External Organizations;

Hughes,  Malcolm K.
External Organizations;

Huybers,  Peter
External Organizations;

Kirdyanov,  Alexander V.
External Organizations;

Krusic,  Paul J.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Josef.Ludescher

Ludescher,  Josef
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Meier,  Wolfgang J.-H.
External Organizations;

Myglan,  Vladimir S.
External Organizations;

Nicolussi,  Kurt
External Organizations;

Oppenheimer,  Clive
External Organizations;

Reinig,  Frederick
External Organizations;

Salzer,  Matthew W.
External Organizations;

Seftigen,  Kristina
External Organizations;

Stine,  Alexander R.
External Organizations;

Stoffel,  Markus
External Organizations;

St. George,  Scott
External Organizations;

Tejedor,  Ernesto
External Organizations;

Trevino,  Aleyda
External Organizations;

Trouet,  Valerie
External Organizations;

Wang,  Jianglin
External Organizations;

Wilson,  Rob
External Organizations;

Yang,  Bao
External Organizations;

Xu,  Guobao
External Organizations;

Esper,  Jan
External Organizations;

External Ressource
No external resources are shared
Fulltext (public)

25745oa.pdf
(Publisher version), 2MB

Supplementary Material (public)
There is no public supplementary material available
Citation

Büntgen, U., Allen, K., Anchukaitis, K. J., Arseneault, D., Boucher, É., Bräuning, A., Chatterjee, S., Cherubini, P., Churakova, O. V., Corona, C., Gennaretti, F., Grießinger, J., Guillet, S., Guiot, J., Gunnarson, B., Helama, S., Hochreuther, P., Hughes, M. K., Huybers, P., Kirdyanov, A. V., Krusic, P. J., Ludescher, J., Meier, W.-J.-H., Myglan, V. S., Nicolussi, K., Oppenheimer, C., Reinig, F., Salzer, M. W., Seftigen, K., Stine, A. R., Stoffel, M., St. George, S., Tejedor, E., Trevino, A., Trouet, V., Wang, J., Wilson, R., Yang, B., Xu, G., Esper, J. (2021): The influence of decision-making in tree ring-based climate reconstructions. - Nature Communications, 12, 3411.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23627-6


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_25745
Abstract
Tree-ring chronologies underpin the majority of annually-resolved reconstructions of Common Era climate. However, they are derived using different datasets and techniques, the ramifications of which have hitherto been little explored. Here, we report the results of a double-blind experiment that yielded 15 Northern Hemisphere summer temperature reconstructions from a common network of regional tree-ring width datasets. Taken together as an ensemble, the Common Era reconstruction mean correlates with instrumental temperatures from 1794–2016 CE at 0.79 (p < 0.001), reveals summer cooling in the years following large volcanic eruptions, and exhibits strong warming since the 1980s. Differing in their mean, variance, amplitude, sensitivity, and persistence, the ensemble members demonstrate the influence of subjectivity in the reconstruction process. We therefore recommend the routine use of ensemble reconstruction approaches to provide a more consensual picture of past climate variability.