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The role of atmospheric rivers in the distribution of heavy precipitation events over North America

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/persons/resource/sara.bernal

Vallejo Bernal,  Sara Maria
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/frederik.wolf

Wolf,  Frederik
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Niklas.Boers

Boers,  Niklas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/traxl

Traxl,  Dominik
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Marwan

Marwan,  Norbert
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

/persons/resource/Juergen.Kurths

Kurths,  Jürgen
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

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28683oa.pdf
(Verlagsversion), 8MB

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Zitation

Vallejo Bernal, S. M., Wolf, F., Boers, N., Traxl, D., Marwan, N., Kurths, J. (2023): The role of atmospheric rivers in the distribution of heavy precipitation events over North America. - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 27, 14, 2645-2660.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2645-2023


Zitierlink: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_28683
Zusammenfassung
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are filaments of extensive water vapor transport in the lower troposphere that play a crucial role in the distribution of freshwater but can also cause natural and economic damage by facilitating heavy precipitation. Here, we investigate the large-scale spatiotemporal synchronization patterns of heavy precipitation events (HPEs) over the western coast and the continental regions of North America (NA), during the period from 1979 to 2018. In particular, we use event synchronization and a complex network approach incorporating varying delays to examine the temporal evolution of spatial patterns of HPEs in the aftermath of land-falling ARs. For that, we employ the SIO-R1 catalog of ARs that landfall on the western coast of NA, ranked in terms of intensity and persistence on an AR-strength scale which varies from level AR1 to AR5, along with daily precipitation estimates from ERA5 with a 0.25∘ spatial resolution. Our analysis reveals a cascade of synchronized HPEs, triggered by ARs of level AR3 or higher. On the first 3 d after an AR makes landfall, HPEs mostly occur and synchronize along the western coast of NA. In the subsequent days, moisture can be transported to central and eastern Canada and cause synchronized but delayed HPEs there. Furthermore, we confirm the robustness of our findings with an additional AR catalog based on a different AR detection method. Finally, analyzing the anomalies of integrated water vapor transport, geopotential height, upper-level meridional wind, and precipitation, we find atmospheric circulation patterns that are consistent with the spatiotemporal evolution of the synchronized HPEs. Revealing the role of ARs in the precipitation patterns over NA will lead to a better understanding of inland HPEs and the effects that changing climate dynamics will have on precipitation occurrence and consequent impacts in the context of a warming atmosphere.